Cape Coral SA
ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU17 · 10 teams · Cape Coral Soccer (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.2 for, 1.5 against · 1.19 expected points)
| Season so far | Cape Coral SA | Athletic Club Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-6 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | W W L L W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Wellington SC | 3–1 at Wellington SC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at SWFL PREMIER FC | 0–2 at Parkland Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.24 | +0.21 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.02 | -0.27 |
Common opponents: SWFL PREMIER FC — we 0–2; they 2–0. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 0–1; they 2–3. Davie United SC — we 2–1; they 1–0. Wellington SC — we 5–0; they 3–1. Parkland Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 0–2. Strikers Miami FC — we 1–3; they 2–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 at SWFL PREMIER FC, 0–1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC, 0–2 vs Doral Soccer Club, 0–1 vs AC Florida Tropical.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 31%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Athletic Club Florida game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cape Coral SA – Athletic Club Florida) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.78 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.78 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 4%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 42%
- 8th 25%
- 9th 14%
- 10th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strikers Miami FC | 2.50 (+1.75) | 1st (2.38) | 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | AC Florida Tropical | 2.29 (+1.54) | 2nd (2.26) | 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Athletic Club Florida | 1.67 (+0.92) | 4th (1.56) | 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 4 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 1.56 (+0.81) | 5th (1.50) | 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 5 | Parkland Soccer Club | 1.50 (+0.75) | 3rd (1.70) | 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 6 | Doral Soccer Club | 1.14 (+0.39) | 6th (1.35) | 15 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 7 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 1.11 (+0.36) | 8th (0.92) | 14 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
How the results connect
42 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Cape Coral SA to Athletic Club Florida through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.03 · 5th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 3rd · 3-1-2 · GD +2 |
Home Festival Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.19 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
SWFL PREMIER FC 4th · 4-2-3 · GD +2 |
Home Festival Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.24 | 0.84 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 11:30 AM |
AC Florida Tropical 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +12 |
Away far trip
Amelia Earhart |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–2 | 0.44 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 09:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 3rd · 3-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–1 | 0.96 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 03:00 PM |
Davie United SC 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Home Pelican Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–1 | 1.82 | 0.90 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 01:00 PM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 7th · 3-1-5 · GD -12 |
Home Cape Coral Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
1–0 | 1.96 | 0.97 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 5th · 3-6-1 · GD +8 |
Home Cape Coral Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
0–1 | 0.89 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 03:00 PM |
Wellington SC 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -16 |
Home Cape Coral Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.26 | 1.05 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Strikers Miami FC 1st · 6-2-0 · GD +14 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.44 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 03:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 6th · 2-2-3 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
0–1 | 1.06 | 1.01 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strikers Miami FC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 20 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -0.07 | -0.28 | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Davie United SC · Sun Feb 28 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | AC Florida Tropical | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 16 | 2.29 | WWDWW | +0.01 | -0.26 | 100% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Wellington SC · Sun Oct 25 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Athletic Club Florida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | WLLWW | -0.27 | +0.05 | 55% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Dec 5 at AC Florida Tropical · Sat Feb 20 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 14 | 1.56 | WLWLL | +0.01 | -0.03 | 40% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Feb 27 at Athletic Club Florida · Sun Feb 28 at AC Florida Tropical See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 15 | 1.50 | DDWDL | +0.11 | -0.37 | 85% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 at AC Florida Tropical · Sat Mar 6 vs Davie United SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Doral Soccer Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 8 | 1.14 | LWLDW | +0.06 | -0.10 | 19% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Strikers Miami FC · Sun Nov 1 at Wellington SC · Sat Feb 6 vs Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 10 | 1.11 | LLDLL | +0.12 | +0.09 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Feb 27 vs Wellington SC · Sun Feb 28 at Strikers Miami FC · Sat Mar 6 vs Doral Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Cape Coral SA | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 | 0.75 | WLLLL | +0.02 | +0.03 | 1% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 vs SWFL PREMIER FC · Sat Feb 27 at AC Florida Tropical See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Davie United SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLWL | +0.10 | +0.07 | 0% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Florida Tropical · Sat Feb 6 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Wellington SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 22 | -16 | 3 | 0.50 | LLWLL | +0.19 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida Tropical · Sun Nov 1 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.43 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.