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Strikers Miami FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU16 · 10 teams · Strikers Miami FC (all teams)

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2nd
4-3-0 record · 7 played
2.14 points per game
+9 goal diff · 13–4
DWDWWlast 5
95% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.3
-0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, 03:00 PM

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Strikers Miami FC
2nd · 2.14 PPG
at

Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.2 for, 1.0 against · 1.53 expected points)

Season so farStrikers Miami FCFort Lauderdale United FC
Position2nd4th
Record (W-D-L)4-3-03-2-2
Points per game2.141.57
Goals for / game1.91.7
Goals against / game0.61.0
Clean sheets43
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)W W D W DL D W W L
Biggest win4–0 vs Parkland Soccer Club4–0 at AC Florida Tropical
Worst loss—1–3 vs Athletic Club Florida
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.80+0.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.40-0.22

Common opponents: Athletic Club Florida — we 5–2; they 1–3. Parkland Soccer Club — we 1–1, 4–0; they 0–0. AC Florida Tropical — we 0–0; they 4–0. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 2–1; they 2–2. Wellington SC — we 1–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 at AC Florida Tropical, 0–0 at Cape Coral SA.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 41%; a draw (29%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Strikers Miami FC – Fort Lauderdale United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.25 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.25 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
1.88 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

30% finish 1st
95% top 4
5% below the top 4
2.3 average finish
  1. 1st 30%
  2. 2nd 34%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Doral Soccer Club 2.43 (+0.29) 1st (2.09) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection

How the results connect

38 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Strikers Miami FC to Fort Lauderdale United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

17 favour us
6 even
15 favour them
+0.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–0 1–0 0–2 2–1 2–2 4–0 0–0 0–4 5–2 3–1 0–2 0–0 1–1 3–1 0–1 1–0 1–3 1–1 Strikers Miami FC 2nd Parkland Soccer Club 7th Wellington SC 6th SWFL PREMIER FC 8th AC Florida Tropical 10th Athletic Club Flori… 9th Cape Coral SA 3rd Doral Soccer Club 1st Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
4th · 3-2-2 · GD +5
Away far trip
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–0 1.53 2.07 Upside
Sun Nov 22
TBD
Doral Soccer Club
1st · 5-2-0 · GD +8
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.56 2.01 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 PM
Davie United SC
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +6
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.51 1.96 Upside
Sun Feb 28
TBD
Fort Lauderdale United FC
4th · 3-2-2 · GD +5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–0 1.74 1.94 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
02:00 PM
Wellington SC
6th · 2-1-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Village Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.71 1.92 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
TBD
Davie United SC
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +6
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.75 1.91 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
AC Florida Tropical
10th · 0-2-5 · GD -14
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
2–0 2.62 1.96 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Cape Coral SA
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +4
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–0 1.65 1.94 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
SWFL PREMIER FC
8th · 1-4-3 · GD -3
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–0 2.19 1.95 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
07:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
1st · 5-2-0 · GD +8
Away
Divine Savior Academy
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.34 1.92 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -11
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.42 1.94 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Doral Soccer Club 7520 146+8 172.43 WWWDW -0.14 -0.03 99% 1.6
2 Strikers Miami FC 7430 134+9 152.14 DWDWW -0.40 +0.14 95% 2.3
3 Cape Coral SA 6321 84+4 111.83 WWLDW -0.05 -0.04 73% 3.6
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7322 127+5 111.57 LWWDL -0.22 +0.08 48% 4.5
5 Davie United SC 5212 137+6 71.40 LDWLW -0.35 +0.03 60% 4.1
6 Wellington SC 6213 129+3 71.17 LDLLW -0.03 -0.01 22% 5.5
7 Parkland Soccer Club 10244 714-7 101.00 WDLDL +0.16 -0.05 1% 7.8
8 SWFL PREMIER FC 8143 1215-3 70.88 LDLLW +0.15 -0.09 3% 7.1
9 Athletic Club Florida 5113 718-11 40.80 LLDWL +0.32 +0.07 0% 8.7
10 AC Florida Tropical 7025 519-14 20.29 LLLLL +0.31 +0.04 0% 9.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.