TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU16 · 10 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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4th
3-2-2 record · 7 played
1.57 points per game
+5 goal diff · 12–7
LWWDLlast 5
48% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5
-0.22 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:00 PM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
4th · 1.57 PPG
vs
Cape Coral SA
3rd · 1.83 PPG

Wolf Field at U School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.0 against · 1.40 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCCape Coral SA
Position4th3rd
Record (W-D-L)3-2-23-2-1
Points per game1.571.83
Goals for / game1.71.3
Goals against / game1.00.7
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L D W W LW D L W W
Biggest win4–0 at AC Florida Tropical3–1 at Wellington SC
Worst loss1–3 vs Athletic Club Florida0–1 vs Doral Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.40+0.42
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.22-0.05

Common opponents: SWFL PREMIER FC — we 2–2; they 1–1. AC Florida Tropical — we 4–0; they 2–1. Wellington SC — we 2–0; they 3–1. Parkland Soccer Club — we 0–0; they 2–0. Doral Soccer Club — we 0–1; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Cape Coral SA concede only 0.7/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 vs Parkland Soccer Club, 0–1 at Doral Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (30%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Cape Coral SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Cape Coral SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.75 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1
Win
1.75 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1
Draw
1.50 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.38 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
48% top 4
52% below the top 4
4.5 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 7%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 25%
  5. 5th 26%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Doral Soccer Club 2.43 (+0.86) 1st (2.09) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
2 Strikers Miami FC 2.14 (+0.57) 2nd (1.94) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
3 Cape Coral SA 1.83 (+0.26) 3rd (1.73) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection

How the results connect

34 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Cape Coral SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
6 even
13 favour them
-0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–0 2–0 1–3 2–2 1–1 0–0 0–2 4–0 1–2 3–0 1–1 0–0 0–2 3–1 1–1 0–1 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th Doral Soccer Club 1st Wellington SC 6th SWFL PREMIER FC 8th Parkland Soccer Club 7th AC Florida Tropical 10th Strikers Miami FC 2nd Cape Coral SA 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 2nd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +4
Home
Wolf Field at U School
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–0 1.40 1.55 Upside
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Strikers Miami FC
2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +9
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●○ Tough
30%
0–1 1.18 1.51 Upside
Sat Feb 27
11:00 AM
Wellington SC
6th · 2-1-3 · GD +3
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.65 1.52 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
TBD
Strikers Miami FC
2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +9
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
0–1 0.98 1.47 Upside
Sat Mar 6
03:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
1st · 5-2-0 · GD +8
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.26 1.46 Upside
Sun Mar 7
11:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club
7th · 2-4-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–0 1.83 1.48 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
11:00 AM
SWFL PREMIER FC
8th · 1-4-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 1.50 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
Cape Coral SA
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +4
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
0–1 1.20 1.48 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
AC Florida Tropical
10th · 0-2-5 · GD -14
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.45 1.54 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -11
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 1.58 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Davie United SC
5th · 2-1-2 · GD +6
Away
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.18 1.55 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Doral Soccer Club 7520 146+8 172.43 WWWDW -0.14 -0.03 99% 1.6
2 Strikers Miami FC 7430 134+9 152.14 DWDWW -0.40 +0.14 95% 2.3
3 Cape Coral SA 6321 84+4 111.83 WWLDW -0.05 -0.04 73% 3.6
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7322 127+5 111.57 LWWDL -0.22 +0.08 48% 4.5
5 Davie United SC 5212 137+6 71.40 LDWLW -0.35 +0.03 60% 4.1
6 Wellington SC 6213 129+3 71.17 LDLLW -0.03 -0.01 22% 5.5
7 Parkland Soccer Club 10244 714-7 101.00 WDLDL +0.16 -0.05 1% 7.8
8 SWFL PREMIER FC 8143 1215-3 70.88 LDLLW +0.15 -0.09 3% 7.1
9 Athletic Club Florida 5113 718-11 40.80 LLDWL +0.32 +0.07 0% 8.7
10 AC Florida Tropical 7025 519-14 20.29 LLLLL +0.31 +0.04 0% 9.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.