Doral Soccer Club
ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU16 · 10 teams · Doral SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Village Park , Field 14 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.4 against · 1.65 expected points)
| Season so far | Doral Soccer Club | Wellington SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-0 | 2-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.43 | 1.17 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W W | W L L D L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Parkland Soccer Club | 8–2 vs Athletic Club Florida |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs Cape Coral SA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.78 | +0.25 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | -0.03 |
Common opponents: Parkland Soccer Club — we 3–0, 1–1; they 2–0. Cape Coral SA — we 1–0; they 1–3. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 3–1; they 1–1. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–0; they 0–2.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 23% / loss 30%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Village Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Wellington SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Doral Soccer Club – Wellington SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.25 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.50 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.25 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.13 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 58%
- 2nd 28%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
35 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Doral Soccer Club to Wellington SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 7th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Wellington SC 6th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Village Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.65 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 TBD |
Strikers Miami FC 2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +9 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.17 | 2.20 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 04:00 PM |
Davie United SC 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.69 | 2.15 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 02:00 PM |
Wellington SC 6th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 2.13 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 02:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -11 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.60 | 2.17 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 03:00 PM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 4th · 3-2-2 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.47 | 2.11 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.41 | 2.13 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 02:00 PM |
AC Florida Tropical 10th · 0-2-5 · GD -14 |
Home Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–0 | 2.63 | 2.17 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
SWFL PREMIER FC 8th · 1-4-3 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 2.17 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 05:00 PM |
Cape Coral SA 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home Divine Savior Academy |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–0 | 1.61 | 2.14 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 07:00 PM |
Strikers Miami FC 2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +9 |
Home Divine Savior Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 2.09 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doral Soccer Club | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 17 | 2.43 | WWWDW | -0.14 | -0.03 | 99% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Wellington SC · Sun Nov 22 at Strikers Miami FC · Sat Feb 6 vs Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Strikers Miami FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 15 | 2.14 | DWDWW | -0.40 | +0.14 | 95% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 22 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 11 | 1.83 | WWLDW | -0.05 | -0.04 | 73% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 vs SWFL PREMIER FC · Sun Nov 1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 11 | 1.57 | LWWDL | -0.22 | +0.08 | 48% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Cape Coral SA · Sat Nov 14 vs Strikers Miami FC · Sat Feb 27 vs Wellington SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Davie United SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 7 | 1.40 | LDWLW | -0.35 | +0.03 | 60% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Florida Tropical · Sat Feb 6 at Doral Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Wellington SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLLW | -0.03 | -0.01 | 22% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida Tropical · Sun Nov 1 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 | 1.00 | WDLDL | +0.16 | -0.05 | 1% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 at AC Florida Tropical · Sat Mar 6 vs Davie United SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 | 0.88 | LDLLW | +0.15 | -0.09 | 3% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Feb 27 at Athletic Club Florida See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDWL | +0.32 | +0.07 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at SWFL PREMIER FC · Sat Oct 24 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Dec 5 at AC Florida Tropical See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | AC Florida Tropical | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 | 0.29 | LLLLL | +0.31 | +0.04 | 0% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Wellington SC · Sun Oct 25 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.