Davie United SC
ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU16 · 10 teams · Davie United SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:15 PM
Bamford Sports Complex, Mustang 3 ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.1 for, 0.8 against · 2.20 expected points)
| Season so far | Davie United SC | Parkland Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 2-4-4 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W D L | L D L D W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at AC Florida Tropical | 3–1 vs SWFL PREMIER FC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Fort Lauderdale United FC | 0–4 at Strikers Miami FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.64 | -0.51 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.35 | +0.16 |
Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–3; they 0–0. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 1–1; they 3–1. AC Florida Tropical — we 5–0; they 2–0. Doral Soccer Club — we 2–3; they 0–3, 1–1. Athletic Club Florida — we 4–0; they 0–0.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Parkland Soccer Club average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 1.5); blanked in 6 of 10.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 67% / draw 20% / loss 13%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Fort Lauderdale United FC sit 4th on 1.57 PPG; we are on 1.40.A point moves us above Fort Lauderdale United FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Parkland Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Davie United SC – Parkland Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.67 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 | 7th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 4%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 20%
- 4th 23%
- 5th 22%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 5%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.56 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doral Soccer Club | 2.43 (+1.03) | 1st (2.09) | 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 2 | Strikers Miami FC | 2.14 (+0.74) | 2nd (1.94) | 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 1.83 (+0.43) | 3rd (1.73) | 26 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 4 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 1.57 (+0.17) | 5th (1.55) | A point next game |
How the results connect
35 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Davie United SC to Parkland Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.03 · 5th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:15 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 7th · 2-4-4 · GD -7 |
Home Bamford Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–0 | 2.20 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 01:15 PM |
AC Florida Tropical 10th · 0-2-5 · GD -14 |
Home Bamford Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–0 | 2.62 | 1.69 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 6 04:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 1st · 5-2-0 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.08 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 7 12:00 PM |
Strikers Miami FC 2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +9 |
Home Bamford Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.24 | 1.57 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 02:30 PM |
Wellington SC 6th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home Bamford Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.78 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 12:00 PM |
Cape Coral SA 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home Bamford Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.50 | 1.58 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 11:30 AM |
Parkland Soccer Club 7th · 2-4-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
1–0 | 1.99 | 1.62 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Strikers Miami FC 2nd · 4-3-0 · GD +9 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 1.01 | 1.57 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 03:00 PM |
Cape Coral SA 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Pelican Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 1.55 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 01:00 PM |
SWFL PREMIER FC 8th · 1-4-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 1.57 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 01:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
3–1 | 2.34 | 1.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 PM |
Wellington SC 6th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Village Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.50 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 01:00 PM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 4th · 3-2-2 · GD +5 |
Home Bamford Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 1.61 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doral Soccer Club | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 17 | 2.43 | WWWDW | -0.14 | -0.03 | 98% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Wellington SC · Sun Nov 22 at Strikers Miami FC · Sat Feb 6 vs Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Strikers Miami FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 15 | 2.14 | DWDWW | -0.40 | +0.14 | 95% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 22 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Davie United SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 11 | 1.83 | WWLDW | -0.05 | -0.04 | 76% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 vs SWFL PREMIER FC · Sun Nov 1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 11 | 1.57 | LWWDL | -0.22 | +0.08 | 46% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Cape Coral SA · Sat Nov 14 vs Strikers Miami FC · Sat Feb 27 vs Wellington SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Davie United SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 7 | 1.40 | LDWLW | -0.35 | +0.03 | 59% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Florida Tropical · Sat Feb 6 at Doral Soccer Club See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Wellington SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLLW | -0.03 | -0.01 | 23% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida Tropical · Sun Nov 1 vs Doral Soccer Club · Sun Feb 7 at Doral Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 | 1.00 | WDLDL | +0.16 | -0.05 | 1% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 at AC Florida Tropical · Sat Mar 6 vs Davie United SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 | 0.88 | LDLLW | +0.15 | -0.09 | 2% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Feb 27 at Athletic Club Florida See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDWL | +0.32 | +0.07 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at SWFL PREMIER FC · Sat Oct 24 at Cape Coral SA · Sat Dec 5 at AC Florida Tropical See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | AC Florida Tropical | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 | 0.29 | LLLLL | +0.31 | +0.04 | 0% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Wellington SC · Sun Oct 25 at Davie United SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.