ECNL Girls · 2026-27 · Mon Sep 14 – Sun Sep 20
Week 5 in Northern Cal GU18/19: what changed
12 games · 50 goals
Week 5 in Northern Cal GU18/19 (Sep 14 to Sep 20): 12 games, 50 goals. MVLA climbed 3 places to 1st. San Juan SC slipped 3 places to 4th. MVLA took over at the top from San Juan SC. The biggest upset was Pleasanton RAGE 2–1 Marin FC, a result the model gave a 25% chance.
Results
Mon Sep 14 – Sun Sep 20
Sat Sep 19
- Marin FC (5th) 2–0 (8th) Mustang SC
- Force (4th) 2–2 (1st) MVLA
- Stanislaus Surf (9th) 3–1 (10th) Placer United
- Santa Rosa United (12th) 1–1 (7th) Pleasanton RAGE
- San Juan SC (3rd) 1–2 (2nd) Bay Area Surf
- Davis Legacy (6th) 6–0 (11th) COSC
Sun Sep 20
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVLA | 4th | 1st | ▲3 | — |
| San Juan SC | 1st | 4th | ▼3 | — |
| COSC | 8th | 10th | ▼2 | — |
| Bay Area Surf | 3rd | 2nd | ▲1 | — |
| Force | 2nd | 3rd | ▼1 | — |
| Marin FC | 9th | 8th | ▲1 | — |
| Mustang SC | 11th | 12th | ▼1 | — |
| Stanislaus Surf | 10th | 9th | ▲1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Pleasanton RAGE 2–1 Marin FC 25% likelySun Sep 20 · model favoured Marin FC
-
Placer United 3–1 Mustang SC 28% likelySun Sep 20 · model favoured Mustang SC
How likely each result was by today's ratings.