Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 02:15 PM
Bay Area Surf 1–1 Stanislaus Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 7% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 90% home, 7% draw, 3% away, most likely 3–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Stanislaus Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | L L L W D |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 3–1 vs Placer United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–9 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | -1.29 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | +0.49 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–1 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; Stanislaus Surf 0–2. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Stanislaus Surf 1–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Stanislaus Surf 0–9. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Stanislaus Surf 1–3. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; Stanislaus Surf 1–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Stanislaus Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 9th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 9.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
42 favour Bay Area Surf, 4 favour Stanislaus Surf, 3 even; average margin +3.8 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to Stanislaus Surf 0–1
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy beat Stanislaus Surf 3–1
- +7Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1
- +10Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC beat Stanislaus Surf 9–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Stanislaus Surf · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings