Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 09:00 AM
San Juan SC 1–2 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 34% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 45% home, 21% draw, 34% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | San Juan SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-2 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W D | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | 11–1 vs Santa Rosa United | 8–1 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.94 | +1.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.21 | -0.62 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 1–2 (home for San Juan SC)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — San Juan SC 9–0; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Santa Rosa United — San Juan SC 11–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0. COSC — San Juan SC 6–1; Bay Area Surf 8–1. Mustang SC — San Juan SC 3–2; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Marin FC — San Juan SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 4–2.
What's at stake
| San Juan SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 94% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 12% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 2.9 |
How the results connect
49 chains
26 favour San Juan SC, 21 favour Bay Area Surf, 2 even; average margin +0.8 goals toward San Juan SC.
- -1San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- 0San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 2–4
- -1San Juan SC beat Mustang SC 3–2 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -2San Juan SC beat COSC 6–1 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–8
- +7San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 11–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +9San Juan SC beat Stanislaus Surf 9–0 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
Full picture: San Juan SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings