ECNL Girls · 2026-27 · Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Week 10 in Northern Cal GU18/19: what changed
12 games · 53 goals
Week 10 in Northern Cal GU18/19 (Oct 19 to Oct 25): 12 games, 53 goals. Marin FC climbed 2 places to 5th. Placer United slipped 2 places to 10th. MVLA lead on 2.83 points per game. The biggest upset was Marin FC 1–0 Force, a result the model gave a 16% chance. Next week's game to watch: Marin FC vs MVLA on Saturday.
Results
Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Sat Oct 24
- Mustang SC (8th) 3–1 (11th) COSC
- Bay Area Surf (2nd) 4–5 (1st) MVLA
- Marin FC (5th) 4–1 (10th) Placer United
- Davis Legacy (6th) 1–3 (3rd) San Juan SC
- Pleasanton RAGE (7th) 1–3 (4th) Force
- Santa Rosa United (12th) 1–7 (9th) Stanislaus Surf
Sun Oct 25
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marin FC | 7th | 5th | ▲2 | — |
| Mustang SC | 10th | 8th | ▲2 | — |
| Placer United | 8th | 10th | ▼2 | — |
| San Juan SC | 4th | 3rd | ▲1 | — |
| Force | 3rd | 4th | ▼1 | — |
| Davis Legacy | 5th | 6th | ▼1 | — |
| Pleasanton RAGE | 6th | 7th | ▼1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Marin FC 1–0 Force 16% likelySun Oct 25 · model favoured Force
How likely each result was by today's ratings.
Next week: games that matter
Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1
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Marin FC (5th) vs MVLA (1st) Sat Oct 3116% · 19% · 65% — KEY GAME form check
-
44% · 23% · 33% — KEY GAME toss-up
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Placer United (10th) vs Davis Legacy (6th) Sat Oct 3120% · 23% · 57% — KEY GAME form check
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Bay Area Surf (2nd) vs Mustang SC (8th) Sat Oct 3177% · 13% · 10% — KEY GAME form check
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1% · 2% · 97% — KEY GAME form check