Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 home, 1.6 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 9-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 6–1 at COSC |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | +2.01 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | -0.32 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; MVLA 1–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 5–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; MVLA 4–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; MVLA 2–1. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; MVLA 3–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 3–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 8–1; MVLA 6–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 66% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 1.5 |
How the results connect
62 chains
23 favour Bay Area Surf, 31 favour MVLA, 8 even; average margin -0.6 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy lost to MVLA 0–3
- 0Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC lost to MVLA 1–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 0–1
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 8–1 → COSC lost to MVLA 1–6
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0 → Mustang SC lost to MVLA 0–4
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 0–5
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings