Preview · Saturday, Oct 31, 09:00 AM
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 3.0 home, 0.8 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-0 | 2-0-8 |
| Points per game | 2.71 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W L L W L |
| Biggest win | 8–1 vs COSC | 7–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–4 vs MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.56 | -0.41 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | +0.28 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–0 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 4–2; Mustang SC 0–2. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Mustang SC 7–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Mustang SC 2–3. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Mustang SC 0–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Mustang SC 0–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 10th |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 11% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 8.5 |
How the results connect
49 chains
36 favour Bay Area Surf, 8 favour Mustang SC, 5 even; average margin +2.3 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0
- +1Bay Area Surf drew with Stanislaus Surf 1–1 → Stanislaus Surf beat Mustang SC 1–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC beat Mustang SC 3–2
- -3Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 1–7
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy beat Mustang SC 1–0
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC beat Mustang SC 2–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU18/19 standings