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San Antonio City SC

ECNL Boys · Texas BU14 · 20 teams · San Antonio City SC (all teams)

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19th
0-2-4 record · 6 played
0.33 points per game
-16 goal diff · 1–17
DDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.2
-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM

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San Antonio City SC
19th · 0.33 PPG
vs
Albion Hurricanes FC
10th · 1.29 PPG

Specht Soccer Complex, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.8 against · 0.56 expected points)

Season so farSan Antonio City SCAlbion Hurricanes FC
Position19th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-42-3-2
Points per game0.331.29
Goals for / game0.22.3
Goals against / game2.83.0
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless50
Form (recent first)L L L D DW L D W D
Biggest win—2–1 vs RISE SC
Worst loss0–6 at HTX1–7 vs Dallas Texans Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.75-0.42
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.09+0.37

Common opponents: RISE SC — we 0–0; they 2–1. SAFC — we 0–3; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Albion Hurricanes FC concede 3.0/game; worst result 1–7 vs Dallas Texans Academy.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–6 at HTX, 0–0 at FC Westlake, 0–0 vs RISE SC, 0–5 at Tulsa SC, 0–3 at SAFC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    RISE SC sit 18th on 0.57 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above RISE SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Albion Hurricanes FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Antonio City SC – Albion Hurricanes FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.29 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Win
0.71 PPG
18th▲ up 1 16th▲ up 3 19th— holds
Draw
0.43 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Loss
0.29 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 19th even if every rival loses, and as low as 20th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th 4%
  18. 18th 9%
  19. 19th 39%
  20. 20th 46%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.16 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Academy 3.00 (+2.67) 1st (2.82) 55 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Lonestar ATX Red 2.44 (+2.11) 2nd (2.17) 45 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Tulsa SC 2.18 (+1.85) 3rd (2.12) 40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 HTX 1.88 (+1.55) 6th (1.77) 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Solar SC Academy 1.86 (+1.53) 4th (1.91) 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Red 1.75 (+1.42) 5th (1.89) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 SOLAR SC 1.71 (+1.38) 10th (1.36) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Sting 1.70 (+1.37) 7th (1.73) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
9 SAFC 1.50 (+1.17) 8th (1.54) 27 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.29 (+0.96) 11th (1.30) 23 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
11 Lonestar ATX Royal 1.22 (+0.89) 12th (1.28) 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
12 DKSC 1.20 (+0.87) 9th (1.42) 21 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
13 Real Colorado Academy 1.00 (+0.67) 13th (1.22) 17 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
14 OK Energy FC Academy 0.83 (+0.50) 17th (0.83) 14 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
15 FC Westlake 0.75 (+0.42) 14th (1.09) 13 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
16 Dallas Texans 0.71 (+0.38) 16th (0.86) A point next game
17 FC Dallas Youth White 0.71 (+0.38) 15th (1.01) A point next game
18 RISE SC 0.57 (+0.24) 18th (0.74) A point next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link San Antonio City SC to Albion Hurricanes FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 even
13 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 1–2 0–3 2–2 0–0 2–2 0–5 5–1 0–1 3–3 0–1 1–1 0–6 5–1 4–3 1–0 2–3 3–4 0–3 7–1 2–2 0–5 San Antonio City SC 19th RISE SC 18th SAFC 9th FC Westlake 15th Tulsa SC 3rd HTX 4th Real Colorado Acade… 13th Solar SC Academy 5th SOLAR SC 7th Dallas Texans 16th Dallas Texans Acade… 1st Albion Hurricanes FC 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 3rd hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 13
TBD
no score posted
Solar SC Academy
5th · 4-1-2 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.24 0.32 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Albion Hurricanes FC
10th · 2-3-2 · GD -5
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.56 0.35 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red
6th · 4-2-2 · GD +7
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.31 0.34 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth White
17th · 1-2-4 · GD -14
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.85 0.40 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Red
2nd · 7-1-1 · GD +13
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.26 0.38 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Lonestar ATX Royal
11th · 3-2-4 · GD +0
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–1 0.59 0.40 Upside
Sat Dec 12
01:00 PM
Real Colorado Academy
13th · 2-2-4 · GD -2
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.56 0.41 Upside
Sat Feb 20
01:00 PM
SOLAR SC
7th · 4-0-3 · GD +1
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.55 0.42 Upside
Sat Apr 17
10:00 AM
Dallas Texans
16th · 1-2-4 · GD -13
Away far trip
Independence High School
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.70 0.44 Upside
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Dallas Texans Academy
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +36
Away far trip
Centennial HS
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.01 0.41 Upside
Sat Apr 24
11:00 AM
Sting
8th · 5-2-3 · GD +8
Away far trip
Sting National Training Center
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–2 0.24 0.40 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
DKSC
12th · 3-3-4 · GD -3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.35 0.40 Upside
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
Colorado Storm
20th · 0-1-5 · GD -16
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.37 0.45 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Academy 7700 404+36 213.00 WWWWW -0.29 -0.16 100% 1.0
2 Lonestar ATX Red 9711 218+13 222.44 DWWLW -0.18 +0.05 87% 3.1
3 Tulsa SC 11731 2911+18 242.18 WWWDW -0.30 +0.19 86% 3.2
4 HTX 8431 1914+5 151.88 WDLWW +0.01 -0.04 19% 6.3
5 Solar SC Academy 7412 2010+10 131.86 LWWWL +0.08 -0.14 49% 4.8
6 FC Dallas Youth Red 8422 1710+7 141.75 WWWLW +0.16 -0.22 41% 5.1
7 SOLAR SC 7403 1413+1 121.71 WWWLL -0.56 +0.33 1% 10.6
8 Sting 10523 2113+8 171.70 WDWWW -0.05 -0.05 12% 6.5
9 SAFC 6231 129+3 91.50 DDLWW -0.39 +0.12 4% 8.6
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 7232 1621-5 91.29 DWDLW +0.37 -0.18 1% 11.5
11 Lonestar ATX Royal 9324 1313+0 111.22 WLLLL -0.05 +0.05 0% 11.4
12 DKSC 10334 1922-3 121.20 LWWWL +0.47 -0.55 0% 9.9
13 Real Colorado Academy 8224 1416-2 81.00 DLLDW +0.02 -0.03 0% 12.1
14 OK Energy FC Academy 12246 1636-20 100.83 LWLDL -0.01 +0.11 0% 16.6
15 FC Westlake 8134 1012-2 60.75 DLLLW +0.01 +0.02 0% 13.5
16 Dallas Texans 7124 922-13 50.71 LLLWL +0.33 -0.12 0% 16.0
17 FC Dallas Youth White 7124 923-14 50.71 DLWLL +0.62 -0.32 0% 14.6
18 RISE SC 7115 414-10 40.57 LLDLL +0.16 -0.01 0% 17.0
19 San Antonio City SC 6024 117-16 20.33 DDLLL -0.09 +0.16 0% 19.2
20 Colorado Storm 6015 218-16 10.17 LLLDL +0.24 -0.01 0% 19.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.