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FC Dallas Youth White

ECNL Boys · Texas BU14 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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17th
1-2-4 record · 7 played
0.71 points per game
-14 goal diff · 9–23
DLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.6
+0.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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FC Dallas Youth White
17th · 0.71 PPG
vs
Real Colorado Academy
13th · 1.00 PPG

Toyota Soccer Center, Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.4 against · 1.08 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth WhiteReal Colorado Academy
Position17th13th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-42-2-4
Points per game0.711.00
Goals for / game1.31.8
Goals against / game3.32.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L L W L DW D L L D
Biggest win2–0 at Lonestar ATX Royal5–1 vs OK Energy FC Academy
Worst loss0–9 at Dallas Texans Academy0–3 at SOLAR SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.01-0.16
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.62+0.02

Common opponents: Lonestar ATX Red — we 1–4; they 2–3. Lonestar ATX Royal — we 2–0; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–9 at Dallas Texans Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans sit 16th on 0.71 PPG; we are on 0.71.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth White – Real Colorado Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.63 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 17th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG
13th▲ up 4 13th▲ up 4 16th▲ up 1
Draw
0.75 PPG
16th▲ up 1 16th▲ up 1 17th— holds
Loss
0.63 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 17th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 16th if every rival drops points, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 5%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 10%
  14. 14th 17%
  15. 15th 19%
  16. 16th 17%
  17. 17th 12%
  18. 18th 6%
  19. 19th 2%
  20. 20th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.16 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Academy 3.00 (+2.29) 1st (2.82) 52 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Lonestar ATX Red 2.44 (+1.73) 2nd (2.17) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Tulsa SC 2.18 (+1.47) 3rd (2.12) 37 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 HTX 1.88 (+1.17) 6th (1.77) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 Solar SC Academy 1.86 (+1.15) 4th (1.91) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Red 1.75 (+1.04) 5th (1.89) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7 SOLAR SC 1.71 (+1.00) 10th (1.36) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 Sting 1.70 (+0.99) 7th (1.73) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 SAFC 1.50 (+0.79) 8th (1.54) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.29 (+0.58) 11th (1.30) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
11 Lonestar ATX Royal 1.22 (+0.51) 12th (1.28) 19 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
12 DKSC 1.20 (+0.49) 9th (1.42) 18 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
13 Real Colorado Academy 1.00 (+0.29) 13th (1.22) Win next game
14 OK Energy FC Academy 0.83 (+0.12) 17th (0.83) A point next game
15 FC Westlake 0.75 (+0.04) 14th (1.09) A point next game
16 Dallas Texans 0.71 (+0.00) 16th (0.86) Already ahead

How the results connect

25 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth White to Real Colorado Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
4 even
15 favour them
-1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 3–2 2–0 1–0 3–1 1–5 0–2 2–2 2–0 1–1 3–2 0–1 2–4 2–2 1–3 1–1 2–2 7–2 0–2 3–0 3–4 3–3 FC Dallas Youth Whi… 17th Lonestar ATX Red 2nd Lonestar ATX Royal 11th Dallas Texans 16th Sting 8th DKSC 12th FC Dallas Youth Red 6th OK Energy FC Academy 14th Tulsa SC 3rd RISE SC 18th SOLAR SC 7th Albion Hurricanes FC 10th Real Colorado Acade… 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.32 · 19th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
Real Colorado Academy
13th · 2-2-4 · GD -2
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.08 0.76 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Colorado Storm
20th · 0-1-5 · GD -16
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.10 0.91 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
03:00 PM
OK Energy FC Academy
14th · 2-4-6 · GD -20
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.77 1.00 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
TBD
SAFC
9th · 2-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.61 0.96 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
San Antonio City SC
19th · 0-2-4 · GD -16
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.94 1.04 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
01:00 PM
Tulsa SC
3rd · 7-3-1 · GD +18
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.99 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
RISE SC
18th · 1-1-5 · GD -10
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.68 1.04 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Albion Hurricanes FC
10th · 2-3-2 · GD -5
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 1.05 Upside
Sat May 1
11:00 AM
Solar SC Academy
5th · 4-1-2 · GD +10
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.52 1.02 Upside
Sun May 2
09:00 AM
SOLAR SC
7th · 4-0-3 · GD +1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.08 1.02 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
HTX
4th · 4-3-1 · GD +5
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.77 1.01 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
FC Westlake
15th · 1-3-4 · GD -2
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.14 1.01 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Academy 7700 404+36 213.00 WWWWW -0.29 -0.16 100% 1.0
2 Lonestar ATX Red 9711 218+13 222.44 DWWLW -0.18 +0.05 87% 3.1
3 Tulsa SC 11731 2911+18 242.18 WWWDW -0.30 +0.19 86% 3.2
4 HTX 8431 1914+5 151.88 WDLWW +0.01 -0.04 19% 6.3
5 Solar SC Academy 7412 2010+10 131.86 LWWWL +0.08 -0.14 49% 4.8
6 FC Dallas Youth Red 8422 1710+7 141.75 WWWLW +0.16 -0.22 41% 5.1
7 SOLAR SC 7403 1413+1 121.71 WWWLL -0.56 +0.33 1% 10.6
8 Sting 10523 2113+8 171.70 WDWWW -0.05 -0.05 12% 6.5
9 SAFC 6231 129+3 91.50 DDLWW -0.39 +0.12 4% 8.6
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 7232 1621-5 91.29 DWDLW +0.37 -0.18 1% 11.5
11 Lonestar ATX Royal 9324 1313+0 111.22 WLLLL -0.05 +0.05 0% 11.4
12 DKSC 10334 1922-3 121.20 LWWWL +0.47 -0.55 0% 9.9
13 Real Colorado Academy 8224 1416-2 81.00 DLLDW +0.02 -0.03 0% 12.1
14 OK Energy FC Academy 12246 1636-20 100.83 LWLDL -0.01 +0.11 0% 16.6
15 FC Westlake 8134 1012-2 60.75 DLLLW +0.01 +0.02 0% 13.5
16 Dallas Texans 7124 922-13 50.71 LLLWL +0.33 -0.12 0% 16.0
17 FC Dallas Youth White 7124 923-14 50.71 DLWLL +0.62 -0.32 0% 14.6
18 RISE SC 7115 414-10 40.57 LLDLL +0.16 -0.01 0% 17.0
19 San Antonio City SC 6024 117-16 20.33 DDLLL -0.09 +0.16 0% 19.2
20 Colorado Storm 6015 218-16 10.17 LLLDL +0.24 -0.01 0% 19.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.