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Colorado Storm

ECNL Boys · Texas BU14 · 20 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

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20th
0-1-5 record · 6 played
0.17 points per game
-16 goal diff · 2–18
LLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.2
+0.24 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Colorado Storm
20th · 0.17 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth Red
6th · 1.75 PPG

Toyota Soccer Center, Field 14 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.6 for, 3.1 against · 0.23 expected points)

Season so farColorado StormFC Dallas Youth Red
Position20th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-54-2-2
Points per game0.171.75
Goals for / game0.32.1
Goals against / game3.01.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless42
Form (recent first)L D L L LW L W W W
Biggest win—7–2 at OK Energy FC Academy
Worst loss0–6 at Solar SC Academy0–1 at Dallas Texans Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.69+0.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.24+0.16

Common opponents: Lonestar ATX Red — we 0–1; they 2–0. Lonestar ATX Royal — we 0–4; they 3–2. OK Energy FC Academy — we 1–1; they 7–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–1 vs Lonestar ATX Red, 0–4 vs Lonestar ATX Royal, 0–4 at SOLAR SC, 0–6 at Solar SC Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at Toyota Soccer Center.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    San Antonio City SC sit 19th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.17.

    A point moves us above San Antonio City SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Red game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm – FC Dallas Youth Red) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.14 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds
Win
0.57 PPG
19th▲ up 1 19th▲ up 1 19th▲ up 1
Draw
0.29 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds
Loss
0.14 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 20th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th 2%
  17. 17th 4%
  18. 18th 10%
  19. 19th 34%
  20. 20th 50%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.11 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Academy 3.00 (+2.83) 1st (2.82) 56 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Lonestar ATX Red 2.44 (+2.27) 2nd (2.17) 46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Tulsa SC 2.18 (+2.01) 3rd (2.12) 41 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 HTX 1.88 (+1.71) 6th (1.77) 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Solar SC Academy 1.86 (+1.69) 4th (1.91) 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Red 1.75 (+1.58) 5th (1.89) 33 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 SOLAR SC 1.71 (+1.54) 10th (1.36) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Sting 1.70 (+1.53) 7th (1.73) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
9 SAFC 1.50 (+1.33) 8th (1.54) 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.29 (+1.12) 11th (1.30) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
11 Lonestar ATX Royal 1.22 (+1.05) 12th (1.28) 23 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
12 DKSC 1.20 (+1.03) 9th (1.42) 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
13 Real Colorado Academy 1.00 (+0.83) 13th (1.22) 18 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
14 OK Energy FC Academy 0.83 (+0.66) 17th (0.83) 15 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
15 FC Westlake 0.75 (+0.58) 14th (1.09) 14 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
16 Dallas Texans 0.71 (+0.54) 16th (0.86) 13 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
17 FC Dallas Youth White 0.71 (+0.54) 15th (1.01) 13 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
18 RISE SC 0.57 (+0.40) 18th (0.74) A point next game
19 San Antonio City SC 0.33 (+0.16) 19th (0.45) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Storm to FC Dallas Youth Red through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
3 even
17 favour them
-2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 0–2 1–1 2–7 0–4 2–3 1–2 2–0 4–2 1–2 2–0 2–2 1–1 3–1 1–0 4–0 2–1 0–4 2–0 1–1 Colorado Storm 20th Lonestar ATX Red 2nd OK Energy FC Academy 14th Lonestar ATX Royal 11th Tulsa SC 3rd SOLAR SC 7th DKSC 12th Sting 8th Dallas Texans 16th FC Dallas Youth Red 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 9th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red
6th · 4-2-2 · GD +7
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.23 0.18 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth White
17th · 1-2-4 · GD -14
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.71 0.24 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:15 AM
DKSC
12th · 3-3-4 · GD -3
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 0.28 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Sting
8th · 5-2-3 · GD +8
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.37 0.29 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:15 AM
Dallas Texans
16th · 1-2-4 · GD -13
Home
Regis University · turf
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.00 0.35 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:15 AM
Dallas Texans Academy
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +36
Home
Regis University · turf
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–5 0.03 0.32 Upside
Sat Dec 12
TBD
SAFC
9th · 2-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.34 0.33 Upside
Fri Jan 15
11:15 AM
Real Colorado Academy
13th · 2-2-4 · GD -2
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.45 0.33 Upside
Sat Feb 6
01:00 PM
RISE SC
18th · 1-1-5 · GD -10
Away far trip
South Campus
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.93 0.37 Upside
Sun Feb 7
11:00 AM
Albion Hurricanes FC
10th · 2-3-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Campbell Road Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.38 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
HTX
4th · 4-3-1 · GD +5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.37 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
FC Westlake
15th · 1-3-4 · GD -2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.38 Upside
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
San Antonio City SC
19th · 0-2-4 · GD -16
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.34 0.43 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Academy 7700 404+36 213.00 WWWWW -0.29 -0.16 100% 1.0
2 Lonestar ATX Red 9711 218+13 222.44 DWWLW -0.18 +0.05 88% 3.0
3 Tulsa SC 11731 2911+18 242.18 WWWDW -0.30 +0.19 86% 3.2
4 HTX 8431 1914+5 151.88 WDLWW +0.01 -0.04 19% 6.2
5 Solar SC Academy 7412 2010+10 131.86 LWWWL +0.08 -0.14 48% 4.8
6 FC Dallas Youth Red 8422 1710+7 141.75 WWWLW +0.16 -0.22 41% 5.1
7 SOLAR SC 7403 1413+1 121.71 WWWLL -0.56 +0.33 1% 10.7
8 Sting 10523 2113+8 171.70 WDWWW -0.05 -0.05 13% 6.5
9 SAFC 6231 129+3 91.50 DDLWW -0.39 +0.12 4% 8.6
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 7232 1621-5 91.29 DWDLW +0.37 -0.18 0% 11.4
11 Lonestar ATX Royal 9324 1313+0 111.22 WLLLL -0.05 +0.05 0% 11.5
12 DKSC 10334 1922-3 121.20 LWWWL +0.47 -0.55 0% 9.9
13 Real Colorado Academy 8224 1416-2 81.00 DLLDW +0.02 -0.03 0% 12.1
14 OK Energy FC Academy 12246 1636-20 100.83 LWLDL -0.01 +0.11 0% 16.5
15 FC Westlake 8134 1012-2 60.75 DLLLW +0.01 +0.02 0% 13.5
16 Dallas Texans 7124 922-13 50.71 LLLWL +0.33 -0.12 0% 16.0
17 FC Dallas Youth White 7124 923-14 50.71 DLWLL +0.62 -0.32 0% 14.6
18 RISE SC 7115 414-10 40.57 LLDLL +0.16 -0.01 0% 17.0
19 San Antonio City SC 6024 117-16 20.33 DDLLL -0.09 +0.16 0% 19.2
20 Colorado Storm 6015 218-16 10.17 LLLDL +0.24 -0.01 0% 19.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.