Sporting Nebraska FC
ECNL Boys · Heartland BU14 · 12 teams · Sporting Nebraska FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:00 PM
Paragon Star Soccer Complex, Field 9 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.6 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting Nebraska FC | Kansas City Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-7 | 0-0-7 |
| Points per game | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 5 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L L L | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–9 at St. Louis Stars SC | 0–12 vs FC Wichita |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.53 | -3.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.55 | +0.32 |
Common opponents: Sporting Iowa Central — we 2–3; they 0–5. VSA Rush — we 0–1; they 1–3. Arkansas Comets FC — we 1–3; they 0–3. OK Energy FC — we 0–2; they 0–2. Kansas Rush — we 2–2; they 0–3. FC Wichita — we 0–8; they 0–12.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Kansas City Athletics average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 5 of 7.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Kansas City Athletics concede 4.9/game; worst result 0–12 vs FC Wichita.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–1 at VSA Rush, 0–2 vs OK Energy FC, 0–9 at St. Louis Stars SC, 0–7 at Missouri Rush, 0–8 vs FC Wichita.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 45% / draw 22% / loss 33%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Kansas City Athletics have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Paragon Star Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Kansas City Athletics game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting Nebraska FC – Kansas City Athletics) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.22 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.44 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
| Draw 0.22 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 12th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.11 PPG |
12th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th 4%
- 11th 73%
- 12th 22%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 1.95 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis Stars SC | 2.67 (+2.54) | 1st (2.48) | 58 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Union KC Soccer Club | 2.29 (+2.16) | 4th (1.89) | 50 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 3 | Sporting Iowa Central | 2.22 (+2.09) | 3rd (2.12) | 48 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | FC Wichita | 2.00 (+1.87) | 2nd (2.31) | 43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Arkansas Comets FC | 2.00 (+1.87) | 6th (1.82) | 43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 6 | Gretna Elite Academy | 1.88 (+1.75) | 5th (1.82) | 41 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 7 | Missouri Rush | 1.17 (+1.04) | 7th (1.51) | 25 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 8 | OK Energy FC | 1.11 (+0.98) | 8th (1.09) | 24 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 9 | VSA Rush | 1.00 (+0.87) | 9th (0.85) | 21 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 10 | Kansas Rush | 0.83 (+0.70) | 10th (0.78) | 18 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
How the results connect
38 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting Nebraska FC to Kansas City Athletics through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.06 · 6th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
Kansas City Athletics 12th · 0-0-7 · GD -32 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 0.29 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Union KC Soccer Club 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–5 | 0.09 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
Gretna Elite Academy 6th · 5-0-3 · GD +4 |
Home CHI Nebraska MultiSport Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.28 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 TBD |
Missouri Rush 7th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–2 | 0.35 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 TBD |
St. Louis Stars SC 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +21 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.04 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Sporting Iowa Central 3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +18 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.12 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
VSA Rush 9th · 3-0-6 · GD -19 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 0.30 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Union KC Soccer Club 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–4 | 0.17 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Kansas City Athletics 12th · 0-0-7 · GD -32 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 0.38 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Gretna Elite Academy 6th · 5-0-3 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.18 | 0.37 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Kansas Rush 10th · 1-2-3 · GD -12 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.71 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
FC Wichita 4th · 5-1-2 · GD +28 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–7 | 0.01 | 0.37 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Arkansas Comets FC 5th · 6-0-3 · GD +14 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–5 | 0.09 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 09:00 AM |
OK Energy FC 8th · 3-1-5 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–2 | 0.47 | 0.36 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | St. Louis Stars SC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWDW | +0.16 | -0.34 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sat Oct 31 at Arkansas Comets FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Union KC Soccer Club | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 16 | 2.29 | WWWWW | -0.24 | -0.01 | 47% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at St. Louis Stars SC · Sun Oct 25 at Missouri Rush · Sat Oct 31 vs Gretna Elite Academy See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sporting Iowa Central | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 20 | 2.22 | DWDLW | -0.25 | -0.02 | 89% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Wichita · Sun Nov 1 vs Kansas Rush · Sat Apr 3 at Sporting Nebraska FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Wichita | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 16 | 2.00 | WLDWW | -0.13 | -0.29 | 99% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting Iowa Central · Sun Nov 1 at VSA Rush · Sun Nov 8 vs Kansas Rush See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Arkansas Comets FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 18 | 2.00 | WLWLW | -0.42 | +0.13 | 30% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs St. Louis Stars SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Missouri Rush · Sat Mar 13 at St. Louis Stars SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Gretna Elite Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 15 | 1.88 | WWLLW | +0.55 | -0.37 | 30% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting Nebraska FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Missouri Rush | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 7 | 1.17 | LWLWD | +0.46 | -0.22 | 4% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sun Oct 25 vs Union KC Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | OK Energy FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 | 1.11 | LWLLD | -0.26 | +0.24 | 0% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Missouri Rush · Sun Nov 1 vs St. Louis Stars SC · Sat Mar 13 at Missouri Rush See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | VSA Rush | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 9 | 1.00 | LWLWL | +0.05 | +0.21 | 0% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Kansas Rush · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Wichita · Sat Apr 3 at Gretna Elite Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Kansas Rush | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | 0.83 | LDWDL | -0.67 | +0.40 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at VSA Rush · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting Iowa Central · Sun Nov 8 at FC Wichita See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sporting Nebraska FC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 35 | -30 | 1 | 0.13 | LLLDL | +0.55 | +0.06 | 0% | 11.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 1 at Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 vs Gretna Elite Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Kansas City Athletics | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 34 | -32 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.32 | +0.24 | 0% | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Missouri Rush · Sun Oct 25 at St. Louis Stars SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting Nebraska FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.