FC Wichita

ECNL Boys · Heartland BU14 · 12 teams · FC Wichita (all teams)

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4th

5-1-2 record · 8 played

2.00 points per game

+28 goal diff · 36–8

WLDWWlast 5

99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0

-0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 05:00 PM

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FC Wichita
4th · 2.00 PPG

Sporting Iowa Central
3rd · 2.22 PPG

Hy-Vee Multiplex, Green #1 ↗ far trip

46% 21% 33%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.7 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so far	FC Wichita	Sporting Iowa Central
Position	4th	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	5-1-2	6-2-1
Points per game	2.00	2.22
Goals for / game	4.5	2.8
Goals against / game	1.0	0.8
Clean sheets	4	6
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	W W D L W	W L D W D
Biggest win	12–0 at Kansas City Athletics	5–0 vs VSA Rush
Worst loss	1–3 at St. Louis Stars SC	2–4 at Union KC Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.57	+1.38
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.13	-0.25

Common opponents: OK Energy FC — we 3–0; they 0–0. Arkansas Comets FC — we 2–3; they 4–0. Kansas City Athletics — we 12–0; they 5–0. Union KC Soccer Club — we 7–0; they 2–4. St. Louis Stars SC — we 1–3; they 1–1. Missouri Rush — we 1–1; they 3–0. Gretna Elite Academy — we 2–1; they 2–0. Sporting Nebraska FC — we 8–0; they 3–2.

Game plan

Hard to break down
Sporting Iowa Central concede only 0.8/game with 6 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Swing game — small margins
Win 46% / draw 21% / loss 33%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Hy-Vee Multiplex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting Iowa Central game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Wichita – Sporting Iowa Central) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.11 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	3rd▲ up 1	4th— holds
Win 2.11 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	3rd▲ up 1	4th— holds
Draw 1.89 PPG	5th▼ down 1	4th— holds	6th▼ down 2
Loss 1.78 PPG	6th▼ down 2	5th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

25% finish 1st

99% top 4

1% below the top 4

2.0 average finish

1st 25%
2nd 51%
3rd 19%
4th 4%
5th 1%
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	St. Louis Stars SC	2.67 (+0.67)	1st (2.48)	43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
2	Union KC Soccer Club	2.29 (+0.29)	4th (1.89)	35 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3	Sporting Iowa Central	2.22 (+0.22)	3rd (2.12)	33 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection

How the results connect

46 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Wichita to Sporting Iowa Central through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

22 favour us

2 even

22 favour them

+1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.29 · 10th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 05:00 PM	Sporting Iowa Central 3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +18	Away far trip Hy-Vee Multiplex	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–1	1.58	1.95	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM	VSA Rush 9th · 3-0-6 · GD -19	Away far trip VSA Timberline Soccer Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	94%	5–0	2.87	2.04	Bank it
Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM	Kansas Rush 10th · 1-2-3 · GD -12	Home Stryker Soccer Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	96%	5–0	2.91	2.12	Bank it
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Kansas City Athletics 12th · 0-0-7 · GD -32	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	100%	7–0	2.99	2.20	Bank it
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Union KC Soccer Club 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +10	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	3–1	2.42	2.21	Bank it
Sun Mar 21 TBD	Kansas Rush 10th · 1-2-3 · GD -12	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	4–0	2.84	2.26	Bank it
Sat Apr 3 TBD	St. Louis Stars SC 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +21	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–2	1.56	2.21	Swing game
Sun Apr 4 TBD	Missouri Rush 7th · 2-1-3 · GD +3	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	2–1	2.33	2.22	Bank it
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Arkansas Comets FC 5th · 6-0-3 · GD +14	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	3–1	2.36	2.23	Bank it
Sun Apr 18 TBD	OK Energy FC 8th · 3-1-5 · GD -5	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	3–0	2.73	2.26	Bank it
Sat May 1 TBD	VSA Rush 9th · 3-0-6 · GD -19	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	97%	5–0	2.93	2.29	Bank it
Sun May 2 TBD	Sporting Iowa Central 3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +18	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	55%	2–1	1.86	2.27	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	Gretna Elite Academy 6th · 5-0-3 · GD +4	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–1	2.36	2.27	Bank it
Sun May 9 TBD	Sporting Nebraska FC 11th · 0-1-7 · GD -30	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	7–0	2.98	2.31	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

St. Louis Stars SC

+21

2.67

WWWDW

+0.16

-0.34

100%

1.4

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	3–1
D	Sun Oct 4	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	7–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	9–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sat Oct 31 at Arkansas Comets FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Wichita (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	VSA Rush (9th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat May 1	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	6–0	99%
·	Sun May 2	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	3–1	65%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	2–0	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Union KC Soccer Club

+10

2.29

WWWWW

-0.24

-0.01

47%

4.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	4–1
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	4–2
W	Tue Oct 6	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	6–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	5–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	0–7
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at St. Louis Stars SC · Sun Oct 25 at Missouri Rush · Sat Oct 31 vs Gretna Elite Academy See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–1	47%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	5–0	94%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FC Wichita (4th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	4–1	90%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun May 2	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–3	19%
·	Sat May 15	at	VSA Rush (9th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun May 16	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting Iowa Central

+18

2.22

DWDLW

-0.25

-0.02

90%

3.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	5–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	2–4
D	Sun Oct 11	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	0–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	4–0
D	Sun Oct 4	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	3–0
W	Wed Sep 16	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	5–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–0
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Wichita · Sun Nov 1 vs Kansas Rush · Sat Apr 3 at Sporting Nebraska FC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	2–0	68%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0	58%
·	Sat May 1	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	3–0	83%
·	Sun May 2	at	FC Wichita (4th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat May 8	at	VSA Rush (9th)	3–0	85%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	2–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Wichita

+28

2.00

WLDWW

-0.13

-0.29

99%

2.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	8–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–1
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	7–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	12–0
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	2–3
W	Sat Aug 29	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting Iowa Central · Sun Nov 1 at VSA Rush · Sun Nov 8 vs Kansas Rush See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	VSA Rush (9th)	5–0	94%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	7–0	100%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	4–0	93%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat May 1	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	2–1	55%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–1	74%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	7–0	99%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arkansas Comets FC

+14

2.00

WLWLW

-0.42

+0.13

31%

5.1

W	Sun Oct 11	at	VSA Rush (9th)	8–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	5–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	3–1
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	3–2
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	7–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs St. Louis Stars SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Missouri Rush · Sat Mar 13 at St. Louis Stars SC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	4–0	94%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	4–1	87%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Wichita (4th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	5–0	95%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–1	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Gretna Elite Academy

1.88

WWLLW

+0.55

-0.37

29%

5.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	3–1
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–2
W	Sat Aug 29	at	VSA Rush (9th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting Nebraska FC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	3–0	79%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	2–1	42%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC Wichita (4th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun May 9	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat May 15	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	1–1	53%
·	Sun May 16	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Missouri Rush

1.17

LWLWD

+0.46

-0.22

6.7

D	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	7–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sun Oct 25 vs Union KC Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	3–0	90%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	2–0	80%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	1–0	57%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FC Wichita (4th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	VSA Rush (9th)	2–0	67%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–1	19%
·	Sat May 1	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–1	30%
·	Sun May 2	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	2–0	85%
·	Sat May 8	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–2	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

OK Energy FC

-5

1.11

LWLLD

-0.26

+0.24

8.2

D	Sun Oct 11	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 10	at	VSA Rush (9th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–5
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–5
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–3
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	5–0
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Missouri Rush · Sun Nov 1 vs St. Louis Stars SC · Sat Mar 13 at Missouri Rush See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–1	25%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–1	19%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	2–0	74%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–2	15%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC Wichita (4th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–1	24%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	2–0	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

VSA Rush

-19

1.00

LWLWL

+0.05

+0.21

9.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–8
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	1–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	1–7
L	Wed Sep 16	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–5
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	1–0
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Kansas Rush · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Wichita · Sat Apr 3 at Gretna Elite Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	2–1	41%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	0–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–2	15%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Wichita (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sun May 2	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	2–1	71%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kansas Rush

-12

0.83

LDWDL

-0.67

+0.40

9.5

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–4
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–1
L	Sun Aug 30	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	0–5
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–7

Next: Sat Oct 31 at VSA Rush · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting Iowa Central · Sun Nov 8 at FC Wichita See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	VSA Rush (9th)	1–2	38%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Wichita (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sun May 2	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	1–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting Nebraska FC

-30

0.13

LLLDL

+0.55

+0.06

11.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	0–8
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 26	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–9
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	1–3
L	Sun Aug 30	at	VSA Rush (9th)	0–1
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 1 at Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 vs Gretna Elite Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	0–5	2%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–2	7%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Kansas City Athletics (12th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun May 2	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat May 8	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun May 9	at	FC Wichita (4th)	0–7	0%
·	Sat May 15	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	0–5	2%
·	Sun May 16	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	0–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kansas City Athletics

-32

0.00

LLLLL

+0.32

+0.24

11.8

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	VSA Rush (9th)	1–3
L	Tue Oct 6	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	1–6
L	Sun Sep 27	at	OK Energy FC (8th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Kansas Rush (10th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Wichita (4th)	0–12

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Missouri Rush · Sun Oct 25 at St. Louis Stars SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting Nebraska FC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Wichita (4th)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	OK Energy FC (8th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Arkansas Comets FC (5th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Union KC Soccer Club (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Gretna Elite Academy (6th)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Sporting Nebraska FC (11th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Kansas Rush (10th)	1–2	11%
·	Sat May 1	vs	St. Louis Stars SC (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Missouri Rush (7th)	0–2	5%
·	Sat May 15	at	Sporting Iowa Central (3rd)	0–5	1%
·	Sun May 16	at	VSA Rush (9th)	1–2	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.