Arkansas Comets FC
ECNL Boys · Heartland BU14 · 12 teams · Arkansas Comets FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 03:00 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.2 against · 0.59 expected points)
| Season so far | Arkansas Comets FC | St. Louis Stars SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-3 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L W | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | 8–1 at VSA Rush | 9–0 vs Sporting Nebraska FC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at Sporting Iowa Central | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.93 | +2.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.49 | +0.18 |
Common opponents: FC Wichita — we 3–2; they 3–1. Sporting Nebraska FC — we 3–1; they 9–0. Gretna Elite Academy — we 0–2; they 4–1. Union KC Soccer Club — we 0–3; they 7–0. Sporting Iowa Central — we 0–4; they 1–1. VSA Rush — we 8–1; they 7–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
St. Louis Stars SC score 4.6/game — well above the league's 2.1.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
St. Louis Stars SC concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at Gretna Elite Academy, 0–3 vs Union KC Soccer Club, 0–4 at Sporting Iowa Central.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 15%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
FC Wichita sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above FC Wichita on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the St. Louis Stars SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Arkansas Comets FC – St. Louis Stars SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.80 PPG |
6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Win 2.10 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.90 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.80 PPG |
6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 29%
- 5th 30%
- 6th 21%
- 7th 10%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis Stars SC | 2.71 (+0.71) | 1st (2.60) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Sporting Iowa Central | 2.22 (+0.22) | 3rd (2.12) | 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 3 | FC Wichita | 2.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (2.30) | A point next game |
How the results connect
44 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Arkansas Comets FC to St. Louis Stars SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.16 · 5th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 03:00 PM |
St. Louis Stars SC 1st · 6-1-0 · GD +28 |
Home NOKC Soccer Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.59 | 1.86 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Missouri Rush 7th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home NOKC Soccer Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.68 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 11:00 AM |
St. Louis Stars SC 1st · 6-1-0 · GD +28 |
Away far trip
Sport 360 Soccer Zone |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 1.72 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Missouri Rush 7th · 2-1-3 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Union KC Soccer Club 5th · 5-1-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–2 | 1.63 | 1.69 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Kansas City Athletics 12th · 0-0-7 · GD -32 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
4–0 | 2.86 | 1.77 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 09:00 AM |
OK Energy FC 8th · 3-1-5 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 1.79 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
VSA Rush 9th · 3-0-6 · GD -19 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.68 | 1.84 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Sporting Iowa Central 2nd · 6-2-1 · GD +18 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.12 | 1.80 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC Wichita 3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +28 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 1.73 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Kansas Rush 10th · 1-2-3 · GD -12 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.44 | 1.77 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Sporting Nebraska FC 11th · 0-1-7 · GD -30 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
5–0 | 2.87 | 1.82 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Gretna Elite Academy 6th · 5-0-3 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.66 | 1.81 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | St. Louis Stars SC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 4 | +28 | 19 | 2.71 | WWDWW | +0.18 | -0.46 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sat Oct 31 at Arkansas Comets FC · Sun Nov 1 at OK Energy FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sporting Iowa Central | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 20 | 2.22 | DWDLW | -0.27 | -0.03 | 93% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Wichita · Sun Nov 1 vs Kansas Rush · Sat Apr 3 at Sporting Nebraska FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Wichita | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 16 | 2.00 | WLDWW | -0.14 | -0.30 | 100% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting Iowa Central · Sun Nov 1 at VSA Rush · Sun Nov 8 vs Kansas Rush See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Arkansas Comets FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 18 | 2.00 | WLWLW | -0.49 | +0.16 | 38% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs St. Louis Stars SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Missouri Rush · Sat Mar 13 at St. Louis Stars SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Union KC Soccer Club | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 16 | 2.00 | WWWWL | +0.17 | -0.14 | 20% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Missouri Rush · Sat Oct 31 vs Gretna Elite Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting Nebraska FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Gretna Elite Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 15 | 1.88 | WWLLW | +0.60 | -0.42 | 43% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting Nebraska FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Missouri Rush | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 7 | 1.17 | LWLWD | +0.53 | -0.27 | 6% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Kansas City Athletics · Sun Oct 25 vs Union KC Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at OK Energy FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | OK Energy FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 | 1.11 | LWLLD | -0.33 | +0.27 | 0% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Missouri Rush · Sun Nov 1 vs St. Louis Stars SC · Sat Mar 13 at Missouri Rush See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | VSA Rush | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 9 | 1.00 | LWLWL | +0.03 | +0.20 | 0% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Kansas Rush · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Wichita · Sat Apr 3 at Gretna Elite Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Kansas Rush | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | 0.83 | LDWDL | -0.77 | +0.42 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at VSA Rush · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting Iowa Central · Sun Nov 8 at FC Wichita See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sporting Nebraska FC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 35 | -30 | 1 | 0.13 | LLLDL | +0.60 | +0.01 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Kansas City Athletics · Sun Nov 1 at Union KC Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 vs Gretna Elite Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Kansas City Athletics | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 34 | -32 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.23 | +0.27 | 0% | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Missouri Rush · Sun Oct 25 at St. Louis Stars SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting Nebraska FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.