Space Coast United
ECNL Boys · Florida BU14 · 11 teams · Space Coast United (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM
JetBlue Park, Field 2 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.3 against · 2.14 expected points)
| Season so far | Space Coast United | AC Florida West |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-6 | 0-0-5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 4.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Florida Premier FC South | — |
| Worst loss | 1–5 vs Florida Premier FC | 0–9 at Doral Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.67 | -2.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.08 | +0.55 |
Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 0–3, 2–4; they 1–4. Florida Premier FC South — we 4–0; they 0–2. Florida Premier FC — we 1–5; they 1–6. Parkland Soccer Club — we 0–1; they 0–1.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
AC Florida West average 0.4 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 3 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
AC Florida West concede 4.4/game; worst result 0–9 at Doral Soccer Club.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC, 0–1 vs Parkland Soccer Club, 0–1 vs Athletic Club Florida.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 66% / draw 17% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Confidence is low on their side
AC Florida West have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at JetBlue Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the AC Florida West game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Space Coast United – AC Florida West) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.20 PPG |
8th— holds | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Win 1.20 PPG |
8th— holds | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.90 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 54%
- 9th 30%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.10 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 2.57 (+1.57) | 2nd (2.17) | 43 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush | 2.40 (+1.40) | 1st (2.30) | 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Florida Premier FC | 2.14 (+1.14) | 3rd (2.09) | 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 4 | Sporting SA JAX | 1.83 (+0.83) | 5th (1.76) | 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 1.63 (+0.63) | 4th (1.87) | 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 6 | Parkland Soccer Club | 1.60 (+0.60) | 6th (1.55) | 23 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 7 | Athletic Club Florida | 1.40 (+0.40) | 7th (1.29) | 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
How the results connect
29 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Space Coast United to AC Florida West through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.05 · 4th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20 |
Away far trip
JetBlue Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Doral Soccer Club 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.43 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Tamarac Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.02 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 6th · 4-4-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
0–1 | 0.86 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 1.02 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 02:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +10 |
Home SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.63 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20 |
Home SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 1.08 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 02:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–2 | 0.55 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.43 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 02:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.38 | 1.03 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC 3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.33 | 1.00 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWLW | -0.12 | -0.15 | 96% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | +0.47 | -0.39 | 99% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 15 | 2.14 | DWWDW | -0.27 | -0.06 | 93% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Sporting SA JAX | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | WDWWD | -0.05 | -0.10 | 39% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Athletic Club Florida · Sat Dec 12 at Doral Soccer Club See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 13 | 1.63 | LWWWL | +0.03 | -0.25 | 65% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United · Sat Nov 21 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Dec 12 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 16 | 1.60 | WDDDW | -0.05 | -0.03 | 8% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWDL | +0.00 | +0.02 | 1% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Florida Premier FC South · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Space Coast United | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.08 | +0.05 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Florida Premier FC South | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLL | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.06 | +0.20 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | AC Florida West | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.55 | +0.11 | 0% | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sat Nov 7 at Palm Beach United · Sat Dec 12 vs Athletic Club Florida See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.