AC Florida West
ECNL Boys · Florida BU14 · 11 teams · AC Florida West (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.6 against · 0.69 expected points)
| Season so far | AC Florida West | Space Coast United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-5 | 3-0-6 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–0 vs Florida Premier FC South |
| Worst loss | 0–9 at Doral Soccer Club | 1–5 vs Florida Premier FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.33 | -0.67 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.55 | +0.08 |
Common opponents: Florida Premier FC — we 1–6; they 1–5. Florida Premier FC South — we 0–2; they 4–0. Parkland Soccer Club — we 0–1; they 0–1. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–4; they 0–3, 2–4.
Game plan
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 vs Florida Premier FC South, 0–1 vs Parkland Soccer Club, 0–9 at Doral Soccer Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Confidence is low on their side
Space Coast United have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
What a win does
Palm Beach United sit 10th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Palm Beach United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Space Coast United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Florida West – Space Coast United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
| Win 0.50 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.17 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 11th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 33%
- 11th 65%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 2.57 (+2.57) | 2nd (2.17) | 52 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush | 2.40 (+2.40) | 1st (2.30) | 48 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Florida Premier FC | 2.14 (+2.14) | 3rd (2.09) | 43 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 4 | Sporting SA JAX | 1.83 (+1.83) | 5th (1.76) | 37 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 1.63 (+1.63) | 4th (1.87) | 33 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 6 | Parkland Soccer Club | 1.60 (+1.60) | 6th (1.55) | 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 7 | Athletic Club Florida | 1.40 (+1.40) | 7th (1.29) | 28 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 8 | Space Coast United | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (1.00) | 20 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 9 | Florida Premier FC South | 0.67 (+0.67) | 9th (0.86) | 14 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 10 | Palm Beach United | 0.00 (+0.00) | 10th (0.39) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
29 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link AC Florida West to Space Coast United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.11 · 2nd hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:00 PM |
Space Coast United 8th · 3-0-6 · GD -8 |
Home JetBlue Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 0.11 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 TBD |
Palm Beach United 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.05 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 10:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home JetBlue Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.52 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home JetBlue Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.21 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 10:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.36 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 11:00 AM |
Parkland Soccer Club 6th · 4-4-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–2 | 0.34 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 02:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.13 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 PM |
Space Coast United 8th · 3-0-6 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.49 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 11:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 1st · 6-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.10 | 0.28 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 02:00 PM |
Doral Soccer Club 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +10 |
Home Bayshore Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.15 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 02:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home Bayshore Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.08 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 01:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC 3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14 |
Home Bayshore Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.11 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 01:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.04 | 0.24 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 01:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.64 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 02:00 PM |
Palm Beach United 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16 |
Home Bayshore Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 0.31 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWLW | -0.12 | -0.15 | 95% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | +0.47 | -0.39 | 99% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 15 | 2.14 | DWWDW | -0.27 | -0.06 | 93% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Sporting SA JAX | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | WDWWD | -0.05 | -0.10 | 39% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Athletic Club Florida · Sat Dec 12 at Doral Soccer Club See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 13 | 1.63 | LWWWL | +0.03 | -0.25 | 65% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United · Sat Nov 21 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Dec 12 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 16 | 1.60 | WDDDW | -0.05 | -0.03 | 8% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWDL | +0.00 | +0.02 | 1% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Florida Premier FC South · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Space Coast United | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.08 | +0.05 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Florida Premier FC South | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLL | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.06 | +0.20 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | AC Florida West | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.55 | +0.11 | 0% | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sat Nov 7 at Palm Beach United · Sat Dec 12 vs Athletic Club Florida See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.