Florida Kraze Krush
ECNL Boys · Florida BU14 · 11 teams · Florida Kraze Krush (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:00 PM
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.2 for, 0.8 against · 2.63 expected points)
| Season so far | Florida Kraze Krush | Florida Premier FC South |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-1 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W W | L L L L D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Parkland Soccer Club | 2–0 at AC Florida West |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Doral Soccer Club | 0–4 at Space Coast United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.51 | -0.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.47 | +0.05 |
Common opponents: Parkland Soccer Club — we 4–0; they 0–2. Doral Soccer Club — we 1–3, 4–1; they 1–2. Space Coast United — we 5–1; they 0–4.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Florida Premier FC South average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 2 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 84% chance; likely score 3–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Confidence is low on their side
Florida Premier FC South have lost 4 straight (form: DLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Florida Premier FC South game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Florida Kraze Krush – Florida Premier FC South) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.50 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.50 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.17 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 58%
- 2nd 26%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.85 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 2.57 (+0.17) | 2nd (2.17) | 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
How the results connect
23 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Florida Kraze Krush to Florida Premier FC South through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.39 · 11th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 03:00 PM no score posted |
Palm Beach United 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Gardens North County District Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
3–0 | 2.78 | 2.46 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 10 11:00 AM no score posted |
Florida Premier FC 3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14 |
Home Central Winds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.53 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Home Central Winds |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–0 | 2.63 | 2.37 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 13 10:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home Central Winds |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.98 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 01:00 PM |
Parkland Soccer Club 6th · 4-4-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
1–0 | 1.87 | 2.28 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Palm Beach United 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
4–0 | 2.87 | 2.33 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 01:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home Central Winds |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.45 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Athletic Club Florida 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.45 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 02:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20 |
Away far trip
Bayshore Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
4–0 | 2.88 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 10:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC South 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Space Coast United 8th · 3-0-6 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.45 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 01:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20 |
Home Central Winds |
●○○○○ Favorable | 97% |
5–0 | 2.94 | 2.43 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC 3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 2.36 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 01:00 PM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 1st · 6-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home Central Winds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.77 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 02:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Veterans Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.71 | 2.30 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWLW | -0.12 | -0.15 | 95% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWLWW | +0.47 | -0.39 | 99% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 15 | 2.14 | DWWDW | -0.27 | -0.06 | 93% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sporting SA JAX | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | WDWWD | -0.05 | -0.10 | 38% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Athletic Club Florida · Sat Dec 12 at Doral Soccer Club See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Doral Soccer Club | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 13 | 1.63 | LWWWL | +0.03 | -0.25 | 67% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United · Sat Nov 21 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Dec 12 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 16 | 1.60 | WDDDW | -0.05 | -0.03 | 7% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWDL | +0.00 | +0.02 | 1% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Florida Premier FC South · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Space Coast United | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.08 | +0.05 | 0% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Florida Premier FC South | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLL | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.06 | +0.20 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | AC Florida West | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.55 | +0.11 | 0% | 10.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sat Nov 7 at Palm Beach United · Sat Dec 12 vs Athletic Club Florida See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.