TableChase Clubs

Doral Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Florida BU14 · 11 teams · Doral SC (all teams)

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5th
4-1-3 record · 8 played
1.63 points per game
+10 goal diff · 21–11
LWWWLlast 5
65% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
+0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Doral Soccer Club
5th · 1.63 PPG
vs
Space Coast United
8th · 1.00 PPG

Morgan Levy Park Doral, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 1.1 against · 2.44 expected points)

Season so farDoral Soccer ClubSpace Coast United
Position5th8th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-33-0-6
Points per game1.631.00
Goals for / game2.61.3
Goals against / game1.42.2
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)L W W W LL L L L W
Biggest win9–0 vs AC Florida West4–0 vs Florida Premier FC South
Worst loss1–4 at Florida Kraze Krush1–5 vs Florida Premier FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.98-0.67
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.03+0.08

Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 0–2; they 0–3, 2–4. Parkland Soccer Club — we 1–1; they 0–1. Florida Kraze Krush — we 3–1, 1–4; they 1–5. Florida Premier FC — we 0–1; they 1–5. Florida Premier FC South — we 2–1; they 4–0. Palm Beach United — we 5–1; they 2–0, 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Fort Lauderdale United FC, 0–1 at Florida Premier FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 77% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Space Coast United have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Space Coast United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Doral Soccer Club – Space Coast United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.78 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
1.78 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.56 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Loss
1.44 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
65% top 4
35% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 8%
  3. 3rd 21%
  4. 4th 35%
  5. 5th 25%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.57 (+0.94) 2nd (2.17) 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
2 Florida Kraze Krush 2.40 (+0.77) 1st (2.30) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 Florida Premier FC 2.14 (+0.51) 3rd (2.09) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Sporting SA JAX 1.83 (+0.20) 5th (1.76) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection

How the results connect

37 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Doral Soccer Club to Space Coast United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

27 favour us
7 even
3 favour them
+2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 4–2 1–4 5–1 1–1 1–0 3–0 5–1 0–2 1–2 2–1 0–4 0–1 5–1 3–1 0–2 0–0 0–4 Doral Soccer Club 5th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st Florida Kraze Krush 2nd Parkland Soccer Club 6th Palm Beach United 10th Florida Premier FC … 9th Florida Premier FC 3rd Space Coast United 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.25 · 10th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Space Coast United
8th · 3-0-6 · GD -8
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 1.72 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
12:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.22 1.77 Swing game
Sat Dec 12
01:30 PM
Sporting SA JAX
4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.69 1.76 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
01:00 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
6th · 4-4-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.63 1.75 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 1.77 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
02:00 PM
Space Coast United
8th · 3-0-6 · GD -8
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 1.80 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
11:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX
4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Away far trip
Veterans Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.40 1.77 Upside
Sat Mar 20
02:00 PM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20
Away far trip
Bayshore Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–0 2.79 1.83 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
11:00 AM
Palm Beach United
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.78 1.89 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +10
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.47 1.87 Upside
Sat May 8
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.24 1.83 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Home
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.46 1.87 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7601 177+10 182.57 WWWLW -0.12 -0.15 95% 2.4
2 Florida Kraze Krush 5401 165+11 122.40 WWLWW +0.47 -0.39 99% 1.6
3 Florida Premier FC 7430 195+14 152.14 DWWDW -0.27 -0.06 93% 2.7
4 Sporting SA JAX 6321 147+7 111.83 WDWWD -0.05 -0.10 39% 4.7
5 Doral Soccer Club 8413 2111+10 131.63 LWWWL +0.03 -0.25 65% 4.0
6 Parkland Soccer Club 10442 1110+1 161.60 WDDDW -0.05 -0.03 7% 5.8
7 Athletic Club Florida 5212 79-2 71.40 WLWDL +0.00 +0.02 1% 6.9
8 Space Coast United 9306 1220-8 91.00 WLLLL +0.08 +0.05 0% 8.1
9 Florida Premier FC South 6114 512-7 40.67 DLLLL +0.05 +0.08 0% 8.7
10 Palm Beach United 6006 319-16 00.00 LLLLL +0.06 +0.20 0% 10.3
11 AC Florida West 5005 222-20 00.00 LLLLL +0.55 +0.11 0% 10.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.