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Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Florida BU14 · 11 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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6th
4-4-2 record · 10 played
1.60 points per game
+1 goal diff · 11–10
WDDDWlast 5
8% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.8
-0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 03:00 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
6th · 1.60 PPG
vs
Sporting SA JAX
4th · 1.83 PPG

Terramar Park, Field C ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.3 against · 1.23 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubSporting SA JAX
Position6th4th
Record (W-D-L)4-4-23-2-1
Points per game1.601.83
Goals for / game1.12.3
Goals against / game1.01.2
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W D D D WD W W D W
Biggest win3–1 vs Palm Beach United5–0 vs Palm Beach United
Worst loss0–4 at Florida Kraze Krush1–2 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.12+0.67
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.05-0.05

Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 1–1 at Sporting SA JAX (D)

Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–2; they 1–2. Palm Beach United — we 3–1; they 5–0. Athletic Club Florida — we 1–1; they 3–2. Florida Premier FC — we 0–0; they 1–1. Florida Premier FC South — we 2–0; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 at Florida Kraze Krush, 0–0 at Florida Premier FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (28%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Doral Soccer Club sit 5th on 1.63 PPG; we are on 1.60.

    A point moves us above Doral Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA JAX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Sporting SA JAX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.55 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1
Win
1.73 PPG
4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1 6th— holds
Draw
1.55 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1
Loss
1.45 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
8% top 4
92% below the top 4
5.8 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 21%
  6. 6th 53%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.30 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.57 (+0.97) 2nd (2.17) 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
2 Florida Kraze Krush 2.40 (+0.80) 1st (2.30) 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Florida Premier FC 2.14 (+0.54) 3rd (2.09) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 Sporting SA JAX 1.83 (+0.23) 5th (1.76) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
5 Doral Soccer Club 1.63 (+0.03) 4th (1.87) A point next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Sporting SA JAX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
5 even
19 favour them
-1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–0 1–3 0–0 1–1 1–2 2–1 1–1 2–3 3–1 0–5 1–0 2–4 0–3 0–1 0–2 1–0 1–4 1–1 0–2 Parkland Soccer Club 6th Florida Premier FC … 9th Florida Premier FC 3rd Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st Athletic Club Flori… 7th Palm Beach United 10th Space Coast United 8th AC Florida West 11th Doral Soccer Club 5th Sporting SA JAX 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.03 · 6th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
03:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX
4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.23 1.57 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Space Coast United
8th · 3-0-6 · GD -8
Home
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–0 1.89 1.59 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
01:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.89 1.54 Upside
Sat Feb 27
01:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +10
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.11 1.51 Upside
Sun Feb 28
11:00 AM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20
Home
Terramar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
2–0 2.52 1.58 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
Mullins Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.46 1.57 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Palm Beach United
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
1–0 2.15 1.60 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
02:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.92 1.57 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Home
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–0 1.94 1.59 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +10
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.88 1.55 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7601 177+10 182.57 WWWLW -0.12 -0.15 95% 2.5
2 Florida Kraze Krush 5401 165+11 122.40 WWLWW +0.47 -0.39 99% 1.6
3 Florida Premier FC 7430 195+14 152.14 DWWDW -0.27 -0.06 93% 2.7
4 Sporting SA JAX 6321 147+7 111.83 WDWWD -0.05 -0.10 37% 4.7
5 Doral Soccer Club 8413 2111+10 131.63 LWWWL +0.03 -0.25 67% 4.0
6 Parkland Soccer Club 10442 1110+1 161.60 WDDDW -0.05 -0.03 8% 5.8
7 Athletic Club Florida 5212 79-2 71.40 WLWDL +0.00 +0.02 2% 7.0
8 Space Coast United 9306 1220-8 91.00 WLLLL +0.08 +0.05 0% 8.1
9 Florida Premier FC South 6114 512-7 40.67 DLLLL +0.05 +0.08 0% 8.7
10 Palm Beach United 6006 319-16 00.00 LLLLL +0.06 +0.20 0% 10.3
11 AC Florida West 5005 222-20 00.00 LLLLL +0.55 +0.11 0% 10.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.