TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Boys · Florida BU14 · 11 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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1st
6-0-1 record · 7 played
2.57 points per game
+10 goal diff · 17–7
WWWLWlast 5
95% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.4
-0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
1st · 2.57 PPG
vs
Palm Beach United
10th · 0.00 PPG

Beyond Bancard Stadium, Field 1 ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.6 for, 0.7 against · 2.75 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCPalm Beach United
Position1st10th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-10-0-6
Points per game2.570.00
Goals for / game2.40.5
Goals against / game1.03.2
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)W L W W WL L L L L
Biggest win3–0 at Space Coast United—
Worst loss0–2 vs Florida Kraze Krush0–5 at Sporting SA JAX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.95-1.70
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.12+0.06

Common opponents: Sporting SA JAX — we 2–1; they 0–5. Space Coast United — we 3–0, 4–2; they 0–2, 1–2. Doral Soccer Club — we 2–0; they 1–5. Parkland Soccer Club — we 2–1; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Palm Beach United average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 3 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Palm Beach United concede 3.2/game; worst result 0–5 at Sporting SA JAX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Florida Kraze Krush.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 89% chance; likely score 3–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Palm Beach United have lost 6 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Palm Beach United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Palm Beach United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.38 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.25 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

23% finish 1st
95% top 4
5% below the top 4
2.4 average finish
  1. 1st 23%
  2. 2nd 34%
  3. 3rd 26%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

26 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Palm Beach United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

24 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–2 2–1 2–1 3–1 2–0 3–0 2–0 5–1 2–1 5–0 0–2 1–3 4–1 0–9 5–1 0–1 0–1 2–0 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 1st Space Coast United 8th Parkland Soccer Club 6th Doral Soccer Club 5th Sporting SA JAX 4th Florida Kraze Krush 2nd AC Florida West 11th Athletic Club Flori… 7th Palm Beach United 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.15 · 9th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Palm Beach United
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16
Home
Beyond Bancard Stadium · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
3–0 2.75 2.59 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 2.55 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.29 2.42 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC South
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.43 2.43 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
10:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX
4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.72 2.37 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -20
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.86 2.40 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
3rd · 4-3-0 · GD +14
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.05 2.31 Upside
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–0 2.24 2.30 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Palm Beach United
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -16
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.62 2.32 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 PM
Athletic Club Florida
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.98 2.30 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +10
Away far trip
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.31 2.25 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
6th · 4-4-2 · GD +1
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
1–0 1.85 2.23 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
01:00 PM
Florida Kraze Krush
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.02 2.17 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fort Lauderdale United FC 7601 177+10 182.57 WWWLW -0.12 -0.15 95% 2.4
2 Florida Kraze Krush 5401 165+11 122.40 WWLWW +0.47 -0.39 99% 1.7
3 Florida Premier FC 7430 195+14 152.14 DWWDW -0.27 -0.06 92% 2.7
4 Sporting SA JAX 6321 147+7 111.83 WDWWD -0.05 -0.10 39% 4.7
5 Doral Soccer Club 8413 2111+10 131.63 LWWWL +0.03 -0.25 66% 4.0
6 Parkland Soccer Club 10442 1110+1 161.60 WDDDW -0.05 -0.03 7% 5.8
7 Athletic Club Florida 5212 79-2 71.40 WLWDL +0.00 +0.02 2% 6.9
8 Space Coast United 9306 1220-8 91.00 WLLLL +0.08 +0.05 0% 8.2
9 Florida Premier FC South 6114 512-7 40.67 DLLLL +0.05 +0.08 0% 8.6
10 Palm Beach United 6006 319-16 00.00 LLLLL +0.06 +0.20 0% 10.3
11 AC Florida West 5005 222-20 00.00 LLLLL +0.55 +0.11 0% 10.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.