TableChase Clubs

FC Golden State Force (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U16 · 12 teams · FC Golden State Force (all teams)

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8th
2-1-3 record · 6 played
1.17 points per game
-2 goal diff · 14–16
LDWWLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.1
+0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:40 PM

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FC Golden State Force (2)
8th · 1.17 PPG
vs

Bishop Mora Salesian High School, Keegan Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.7 against · 1.18 expected points)

Season so farFC Golden State Force (2)Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Position8th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-34-0-2
Points per game1.172.00
Goals for / game2.32.8
Goals against / game2.72.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L W W D LL W W W W
Biggest win8–0 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club6–0 vs City SC Los Angeles 2
Worst loss1–9 at Pride FC1–3 vs Downey United Football Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.18+0.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.06+0.24

Common opponents: Pride FC — we 1–9; they 2–1. LAIFC (2) — we 0–3; they 3–2. Autobahn SA — we 4–2; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs LAIFC (2), 0–1 at Culver City.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 33%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Golden State Force (2) – Total Futbol Academy - OC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.14 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
1.43 PPG
8th— holds 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Draw
1.14 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
7.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 37%
  8. 8th 23%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+1.83) 1st (2.47) 59 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Downey United Football Club 2.71 (+1.54) 2nd (2.37) 53 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 FC Premier 2.33 (+1.16) 4th (1.84) 45 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.00 (+0.83) 5th (1.78) 37 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Pride FC 1.80 (+0.63) 3rd (2.14) 33 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
6 LAIFC (2) 1.71 (+0.54) 6th (1.47) 31 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Los Angeles SC 2 1.50 (+0.33) 8th (1.15) 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection

How the results connect

17 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Golden State Force (2) to Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
10 favour them
-1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–2 1–2 0–3 2–3 1–9 1–2 2–6 3–1 1–1 1–0 8–0 1–4 0–6 0–4 1–2 0–1 6–2 7–1 6–0 2–5 FC Golden State For… 8th Autobahn SA 10th LAIFC (2) 6th Pride FC 5th Los Angeles SC 2 7th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 12th Culver City 1st Downey United Footb… 2nd City SC Los Angeles… 9th Total Futbol Academ… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 7th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:40 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Home
Bishop Mora Salesian High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.18 1.17 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:45 PM
Downey United Football Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +15
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 1.08 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:55 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Away
JW NORTH Stadium · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 1.16 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
02:05 PM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 1.12 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:15 PM
Pride FC
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15
Home
Rio Hondo College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.58 1.07 Upside
Sun Nov 15
02:00 PM
LAIFC (2)
6th · 4-0-3 · GD +0
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.18 1.08 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-3-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.70 1.13 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -21
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.30 1.21 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.71 1.25 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 1.31 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Culver City
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +22
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.44 1.26 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–3 0.87 1.23 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +15
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.62 1.20 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.08 1.25 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.11 1.24 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -14
Away
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
3–2 1.91 1.27 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 5500 264+22 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 +0.05 100% 1.5
2 Downey United Football Club 7610 194+15 192.71 DWWWW +0.04 -0.20 99% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3210 74+3 72.33 WDW +0.35 -0.10 56% 4.4
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6402 1712+5 122.00 WWWWL +0.24 -0.13 41% 4.7
5 Pride FC 5302 205+15 91.80 WWLLW -0.15 -0.15 95% 2.9
6 LAIFC (2) 7403 1515+0 121.71 WWLLW -0.13 +0.08 6% 6.2
7 Los Angeles SC 2 6231 79-2 91.50 WDDDL -0.72 +0.36 1% 7.7
8 FC Golden State Force (2) 6213 1416-2 71.17 LDWWL +0.06 +0.03 2% 7.1
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6114 923-14 40.67 LDLWL +0.26 +0.08 0% 10.1
10 Autobahn SA 6105 1122-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.17 +0.07 0% 9.5
11 Bell Gardens Football Club 5014 414-10 10.20 LLLDL +0.71 -0.06 0% 10.0
12 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6006 728-21 00.00 LLLLL -0.20 +0.37 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.