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City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U16 · 12 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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9th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-14 goal diff · 9–23
LDLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.26 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:30 PM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 0.67 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
10th · 0.50 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.4 for, 3.2 against · 1.03 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2Autobahn SA
Position9th10th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-41-0-5
Points per game0.670.50
Goals for / game1.51.8
Goals against / game3.83.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L W L D LW L L L L
Biggest win4–1 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club5–2 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Worst loss0–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 21–7 vs Culver City
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.44-1.10
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.26+0.17

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 0–6; they 1–2. Los Angeles SC 2 — we 2–2; they 0–1. Culver City — we 2–6; they 1–7. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 4–1; they 5–2.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Autobahn SA concede 3.7/game; worst result 1–7 vs Culver City.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2, 0–4 vs Pride FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:30 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Draw
0.71 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.57 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 22%
  10. 10th 30%
  11. 11th 35%
  12. 12th 5%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+2.33) 1st (2.47) 62 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Downey United Football Club 2.71 (+2.04) 2nd (2.37) 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Premier 2.33 (+1.66) 4th (1.84) 48 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.00 (+1.33) 5th (1.78) 40 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Pride FC 1.80 (+1.13) 3rd (2.14) 36 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
6 LAIFC (2) 1.71 (+1.04) 6th (1.47) 34 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 Los Angeles SC 2 1.50 (+0.83) 8th (1.15) 29 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.17 (+0.50) 7th (1.27) 22 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection

How the results connect

21 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
3 even
11 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 2–5 2–2 1–0 2–6 7–1 0–6 2–1 1–4 1–2 6–2 0–4 1–0 4–2 0–4 0–1 3–0 6–1 2–1 1–1 City SC Los Angeles… 9th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 12th Los Angeles SC 2 7th Culver City 1st Total Futbol Academ… 4th LAIFC (2) 6th Pride FC 5th Downey United Footb… 2nd FC Golden State For… 8th Autobahn SA 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
05:30 PM
Autobahn SA
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.03 0.72 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:45 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 0.82 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
03:05 PM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.38 0.77 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:45 PM
Downey United Football Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +15
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.18 0.71 Upside
Sun Feb 28
02:15 PM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.58 0.70 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.60 0.69 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Pride FC
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.13 0.65 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-3-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.15 0.68 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Culver City
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +22
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.08 0.64 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.65 0.64 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -21
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.69 0.70 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
6th · 4-0-3 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.88 0.71 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.19 0.74 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.37 0.77 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +15
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.75 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -2
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
25%
2–3 0.93 0.75 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 5500 264+22 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 +0.05 100% 1.5
2 Downey United Football Club 7610 194+15 192.71 DWWWW +0.04 -0.20 99% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3210 74+3 72.33 WDW +0.35 -0.10 55% 4.4
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6402 1712+5 122.00 WWWWL +0.24 -0.13 43% 4.7
5 Pride FC 5302 205+15 91.80 WWLLW -0.15 -0.15 95% 2.9
6 LAIFC (2) 7403 1515+0 121.71 WWLLW -0.13 +0.08 5% 6.2
7 Los Angeles SC 2 6231 79-2 91.50 WDDDL -0.72 +0.36 0% 7.8
8 FC Golden State Force (2) 6213 1416-2 71.17 LDWWL +0.06 +0.03 1% 7.1
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6114 923-14 40.67 LDLWL +0.26 +0.08 0% 10.0
10 Autobahn SA 6105 1122-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.17 +0.07 0% 9.6
11 Bell Gardens Football Club 5014 414-10 10.20 LLLDL +0.71 -0.06 0% 10.0
12 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6006 728-21 00.00 LLLLL -0.20 +0.37 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.