TableChase Clubs

Culver City

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U16 · 12 teams · Culver City Football Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 22 minutes ago.
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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+22 goal diff · 26–4
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.6
-1.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Culver City
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
FC Premier
3rd · 2.33 PPG

Culver City High School, Helms Field ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 1.4 against · 2.29 expected points)

Season so farCulver CityFC Premier
Position1st3rd
Record (W-D-L)5-0-02-1-0
Points per game3.002.33
Goals for / game5.22.3
Goals against / game0.81.3
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WW D W
Biggest win7–1 at Autobahn SA5–3 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.28+0.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.00+0.35

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 72% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Culver City – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.50 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

59% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.6 average finish
  1. 1st 59%
  2. 2nd 28%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Culver City to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
1 favour them
+2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–1 2–6 0–0 6–0 2–3 3–5 1–2 6–2 0–6 1–2 2–1 1–2 Culver City 1st Autobahn SA 10th LAIFC (2) 6th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Downey United Footb… 2nd Total Futbol Academ… 4th Bell Gardens Footba… 11th FC Premier 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
Culver City High School
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.29 2.88 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
03:15 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Away
Hoover High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.14 2.78 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:05 PM
Pride FC
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15
Away
Borchard Community Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.45 2.61 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-3-1 · GD -2
Home
Culver City High School
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.60 2.61 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM
Autobahn SA
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -11
Home
Culver City High School
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 2.63 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Away
Rancho Vista Park
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–1 2.70 2.64 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
6th · 4-0-3 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.57 2.63 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
12th · 0-0-6 · GD -21
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–1 2.91 2.65 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.89 2.67 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
01:45 PM
Downey United Football Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +15
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.37 2.58 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
11th · 0-1-4 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.81 2.60 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
8th · 2-1-3 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.45 2.59 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
02:05 PM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.03 2.56 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.40 2.55 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Pride FC
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +15
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.77 2.51 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +15
Home
Culver City High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.65 2.47 Swing game
Thu May 27
01:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-3-1 · GD -2
Away
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.42 2.47 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 5500 264+22 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 +0.05 100% 1.6
2 Downey United Football Club 7610 194+15 192.71 DWWWW +0.04 -0.20 100% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3210 74+3 72.33 WDW +0.35 -0.10 56% 4.4
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6402 1712+5 122.00 WWWWL +0.24 -0.13 42% 4.7
5 Pride FC 5302 205+15 91.80 WWLLW -0.15 -0.15 95% 2.9
6 LAIFC (2) 7403 1515+0 121.71 WWLLW -0.13 +0.08 6% 6.2
7 Los Angeles SC 2 6231 79-2 91.50 WDDDL -0.72 +0.36 0% 7.7
8 FC Golden State Force (2) 6213 1416-2 71.17 LDWWL +0.06 +0.03 1% 7.2
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6114 923-14 40.67 LDLWL +0.26 +0.08 0% 10.1
10 Autobahn SA 6105 1122-11 30.50 LLLLW +0.17 +0.07 0% 9.5
11 Bell Gardens Football Club 5014 414-10 10.20 LLLDL +0.71 -0.06 0% 9.9
12 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6006 728-21 00.00 LLLLL -0.20 +0.37 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.