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Strikers FC North

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U19 · 16 teams · Strikers FC North (all teams)

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7th
1-2-0 record · 3 played
1.67 points per game
+2 goal diff · 8–6
DWDlast 3
5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.5
-0.57 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:40 PM

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Strikers FC North
7th · 1.67 PPG
at
CITY SC San Marcos
14th · 0.00 PPG

Palomar College Minkoff Field, Minkoff Field ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.3 against · 2.13 expected points)

Season so farStrikers FC NorthCITY SC San Marcos
Position7th14th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-00-0-3
Points per game1.670.00
Goals for / game2.70.0
Goals against / game2.03.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)D W DL L L
Biggest win6–4 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire—
Worst loss—0–3 vs BOCA OC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.21-1.41
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.57+0.48

Common opponents: City SC Southwest — we 1–1; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    CITY SC San Marcos average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 3 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 17% / loss 17%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    CITY SC San Marcos have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 06:40 PM at Palomar College Minkoff Field.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Total Futbol Academy - OC sit 6th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.67.

    A win moves us above Total Futbol Academy - OC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CITY SC San Marcos game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Strikers FC North – CITY SC San Marcos) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1 8th▼ down 1
Win
2.00 PPG
5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1 8th▼ down 1
Draw
1.50 PPG
8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 5
Loss
1.25 PPG
10th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
5% top 4
95% below the top 4
8.5 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 15%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 20%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 4%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3.00 (+1.33) 1st (2.29) 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 3.00 (+1.33) 2nd (2.11) 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
3 BOCA OC 3.00 (+1.33) 3rd (2.06) 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2.25 (+0.58) 4th (2.05) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Inland Surf 2.00 (+0.33) 8th (1.59) Win next game
6 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.00 (+0.33) 7th (1.65) Win next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Strikers FC North to CITY SC San Marcos through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
0 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 3–0 Strikers FC North 7th City SC Southwest 9th CITY SC San Marcos 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 2nd hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
06:40 PM
CITY SC San Marcos
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Away
Palomar College Minkoff Field
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 1.78 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
05:50 PM
Reds FC
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -15
Home
OC Great Park
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.57 1.94 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
8th · 1-0-1 · GD +6
Away
Madison High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.82 1.76 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.13 1.81 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
BOCA OC
3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.19 1.73 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Laguna United
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -5
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.74 1.73 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Inland Surf
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
2–1 1.48 1.71 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.63 1.61 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
California Football Academy
11th · 1-0-2 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.26 1.58 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 1.52 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–1 1.49 1.52 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Home
OC Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.07 1.49 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4400 163+13 123.00 WWWW -1.14 +0.24 89% 2.3
2 ALBION SC Riverside 3300 113+8 93.00 WWW -0.84 +0.12 72% 3.5
3 BOCA OC 3300 83+5 93.00 WWW -0.19 +0.00 62% 4.0
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4301 1810+8 92.25 WWWL +0.43 -0.26 70% 3.7
5 Inland Surf 3201 74+3 62.00 WWL -0.42 +0.08 10% 7.7
6 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3201 64+2 62.00 WLW -0.37 +0.06 15% 7.2
7 Strikers FC North 3120 86+2 51.67 DWD -0.57 +0.14 5% 8.5
8 ALBION SC San Diego 2101 93+6 31.50 LW -0.35 -0.04 47% 4.9
9 City SC Southwest 3111 75+2 41.33 LWD +0.02 -0.04 9% 7.9
10 Elite FC 3111 59-4 41.33 DLW +0.58 -0.11 1% 10.6
11 California Football Academy 3102 137+6 31.00 WLL +0.09 -0.08 21% 6.6
12 City SC - San Diego 3102 313-10 31.00 LLW +0.14 +0.06 0% 13.1
13 Laguna United 3003 49-5 00.00 LLL +0.79 -0.13 0% 12.4
14 CITY SC San Marcos 3003 09-9 00.00 LLL +0.48 -0.01 0% 14.4
15 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4004 820-12 00.00 LLLL +0.12 +0.10 0% 14.3
16 Reds FC 3003 217-15 00.00 LLL +1.29 -0.14 0% 14.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.41 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.