ALBION SC San Diego
Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U19 · 16 teams · ALBION SC San Diego (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:50 PM
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field), El Rancho Charter School Upper 11v11 Field ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.3 against · 1.30 expected points)
| Season so far | ALBION SC San Diego | BOCA OC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L | W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at Reds FC | 3–0 at CITY SC San Marcos |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.14 | +0.83 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.35 | -0.19 |
Game plan
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Hard to break down
BOCA OC concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 37%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
BOCA OC have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 04:50 PM at El Rancho Charter School (Track Field).Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Strikers FC North sit 7th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Strikers FC North on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the BOCA OC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC San Diego – BOCA OC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 | 12th▼ down 4 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
5th▲ up 3 | 6th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 | 12th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
11th▼ down 3 | 11th▼ down 3 | 13th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 7%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 14%
- 4th 14%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 7%
- 9th 5%
- 10th 3%
- 11th 2%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
- 14th
- 15th <1%
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.29) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 2 | ALBION SC Riverside | 3.00 (+1.50) | 2nd (2.11) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 3 | BOCA OC | 3.00 (+1.50) | 3rd (2.06) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 2.25 (+0.75) | 4th (2.05) | 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 5 | Inland Surf | 2.00 (+0.50) | 8th (1.59) | Win next game |
| 6 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 2.00 (+0.50) | 7th (1.65) | Win next game |
| 7 | Strikers FC North | 1.67 (+0.17) | 10th (1.49) | A point next game |
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.04 · 11th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:50 PM |
BOCA OC 3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +5 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
Inland Surf 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home Hickman Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.55 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Strikers FC North 7th · 1-2-0 · GD +2 |
Home Madison High School · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
3–1 | 2.02 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
3–2 | 1.64 | 1.64 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 15th · 0-0-4 · GD -12 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
4–2 | 2.53 | 1.77 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
City SC Southwest 9th · 1-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 1.79 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.49 | 1.87 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
City SC - San Diego 12th · 1-0-2 · GD -10 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.69 | 1.95 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Riverside 2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.50 | 1.91 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 1.88 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 10th · 1-1-1 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.09 | 1.90 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 05:40 PM |
California Football Academy 11th · 1-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away Vista Hermosa Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–3 | 1.39 | 1.86 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Laguna United 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home Hickman Fields |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.44 | 1.90 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.14 | +0.24 | 90% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | ALBION SC Riverside | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.84 | +0.12 | 71% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Southwest See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | BOCA OC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.19 | +0.00 | 64% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Oct 31 at City SC Southwest · Sat Nov 7 at Elite FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | +0.43 | -0.26 | 69% | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Riverside · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at Reds FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Inland Surf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.42 | +0.08 | 11% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Laguna United · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC - San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.37 | +0.06 | 15% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Oct 25 vs Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Strikers FC North | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | DWD | -0.57 | +0.14 | 5% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Oct 31 vs Reds FC · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC San Diego | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.35 | -0.04 | 48% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Oct 31 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Strikers FC North See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | City SC Southwest | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | LWD | +0.02 | -0.04 | 8% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Reds FC · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Elite FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | 1.33 | DLW | +0.58 | -0.11 | 1% | 10.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sun Oct 25 at Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | California Football Academy | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.09 | -0.08 | 20% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 1 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 8 vs Laguna United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | City SC - San Diego | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +0.14 | +0.06 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sun Oct 25 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Laguna United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.79 | -0.13 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inland Surf · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 8 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | CITY SC San Marcos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.48 | -0.01 | 0% | 14.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Strikers FC North · Sun Oct 25 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.12 | +0.10 | 0% | 14.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at California Football Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Laguna United · Sat Nov 7 at Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Reds FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.29 | -0.14 | 0% | 14.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC Southwest · Sat Oct 31 at Strikers FC North · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.41 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.