TableChase Clubs

CITY SC San Marcos

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U19 · 16 teams · CITY SC San Marcos (all teams)

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14th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-9 goal diff · 0–9
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.4
+0.48 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:40 PM

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CITY SC San Marcos
14th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Strikers FC North
7th · 1.67 PPG

Palomar College Minkoff Field, Minkoff Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.6 against · 0.69 expected points)

Season so farCITY SC San MarcosStrikers FC North
Position14th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-31-2-0
Points per game0.001.67
Goals for / game0.02.7
Goals against / game3.02.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L L LD W D
Biggest win—6–4 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
Worst loss0–3 vs BOCA OC—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.41+0.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.48-0.57

Common opponents: City SC Southwest — we 0–3; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 vs BOCA OC, 0–3 vs City SC Southwest, 0–3 at Total Futbol Academy - OC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Laguna United sit 13th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Laguna United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Strikers FC North game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CITY SC San Marcos – Strikers FC North) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2
Win
0.75 PPG
13th▲ up 1 12th▲ up 2 14th— holds
Draw
0.25 PPG
13th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 1 16th▼ down 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 15%
  14. 14th 22%
  15. 15th 26%
  16. 16th 28%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.40 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.29) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.11) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 BOCA OC 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.06) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2.25 (+2.25) 4th (2.05) 34 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5 Inland Surf 2.00 (+2.00) 8th (1.59) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.65) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 Strikers FC North 1.67 (+1.67) 10th (1.49) 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 ALBION SC San Diego 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.90) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
9 City SC Southwest 1.33 (+1.33) 9th (1.55) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
10 Elite FC 1.33 (+1.33) 11th (1.21) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 California Football Academy 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.69) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
12 City SC - San Diego 1.00 (+1.00) 13th (0.79) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
13 Laguna United 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (0.89) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link CITY SC San Marcos to Strikers FC North through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 1–1 CITY SC San Marcos 14th City SC Southwest 9th Strikers FC North 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 9th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
06:40 PM
Strikers FC North
7th · 1-2-0 · GD +2
Home
Palomar College Minkoff Field
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.69 0.17 Upside
Sun Oct 25
06:35 PM
City SC - San Diego
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -10
Away
Aviara Community Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.16 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 1
08:30 AM
California Football Academy
11th · 1-0-2 · GD +6
Away
Aliso Niguel High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.29 0.36 Upside
Sat Nov 7
06:40 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Home
Palomar College Minkoff Field
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.35 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Reds FC
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -15
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–2 1.37 0.48 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Laguna United
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 0.52 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.36 0.50 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
8th · 1-0-1 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.40 0.49 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Elite FC
10th · 1-1-1 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 0.51 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Inland Surf
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.52 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.26 0.51 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
15th · 0-0-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–2 1.04 0.54 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4400 163+13 123.00 WWWW -1.14 +0.24 87% 2.4
2 ALBION SC Riverside 3300 113+8 93.00 WWW -0.84 +0.12 73% 3.4
3 BOCA OC 3300 83+5 93.00 WWW -0.19 +0.00 64% 3.9
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4301 1810+8 92.25 WWWL +0.43 -0.26 67% 3.8
5 Inland Surf 3201 74+3 62.00 WWL -0.42 +0.08 10% 7.7
6 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3201 64+2 62.00 WLW -0.37 +0.06 13% 7.2
7 Strikers FC North 3120 86+2 51.67 DWD -0.57 +0.14 7% 8.4
8 ALBION SC San Diego 2101 93+6 31.50 LW -0.35 -0.04 48% 4.9
9 City SC Southwest 3111 75+2 41.33 LWD +0.02 -0.04 9% 7.9
10 Elite FC 3111 59-4 41.33 DLW +0.58 -0.11 0% 10.6
11 California Football Academy 3102 137+6 31.00 WLL +0.09 -0.08 22% 6.6
12 City SC - San Diego 3102 313-10 31.00 LLW +0.14 +0.06 0% 13.1
13 Laguna United 3003 49-5 00.00 LLL +0.79 -0.13 0% 12.5
14 CITY SC San Marcos 3003 09-9 00.00 LLL +0.48 -0.01 0% 14.4
15 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4004 820-12 00.00 LLLL +0.12 +0.10 0% 14.3
16 Reds FC 3003 217-15 00.00 LLL +1.29 -0.14 0% 14.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.41 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.