TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U14 · 15 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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6th
1-1-0 record · 2 played
2.00 points per game
+6 goal diff · 6–0
DWlast 2
33% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
-1.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:05 PM

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Los Angeles SC
6th · 2.00 PPG
at
ALBION SC Los Angeles
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School, Cantwell Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.9 against · 1.21 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SCALBION SC Los Angeles
Position6th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-03-0-0
Points per game2.003.00
Goals for / game3.04.0
Goals against / game0.00.7
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W DW W W
Biggest win6–0 vs Total Futbol Academy5–1 vs Total Futbol Academy
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.99+1.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.11-2.13

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy — we 6–0; they 5–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    ALBION SC Los Angeles score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Los Angeles concede only 0.7/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Fram Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 33%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    ALBION SC Los Angeles have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 04:05 PM at Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    City SC Los Angeles sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above City SC Los Angeles on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Los Angeles game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC – ALBION SC Los Angeles) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.67 PPG
9th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4
Win
2.33 PPG
4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1 6th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG
9th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4
Loss
1.33 PPG
9th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 3 11th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
33% top 4
67% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 7%
  3. 3rd 9%
  4. 4th 13%
  5. 5th 15%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 14%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.20) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3.00 (+1.00) 5th (2.01) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
3 FC Golden State Force 2.33 (+0.33) 2nd (2.12) A point next game
4 LAIFC 2.33 (+0.33) 4th (2.01) A point next game
5 City SC Los Angeles 2.00 (+0.00) 3rd (2.04) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC to ALBION SC Los Angeles through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 favour them
+0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–0 1–5 0–0 3–0 1–5 Los Angeles SC 6th Total Futbol Academy 15th Fram Soccer Club 10th LA Surf Futures 13th ALBION SC Los Angel… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 19 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.13 · 4th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:05 PM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +10
Away
Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.21 1.74 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:50 PM
Oaks FC
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -11
Home
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–0 2.73 1.99 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM
Rangers FC
8th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.63 1.92 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
9th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–1 1.89 1.91 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LAIFC
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.19 1.81 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–0 2.66 1.91 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
AC Brea
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.84 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
5th · 1-1-0 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.11 1.77 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +11
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–2 1.33 1.73 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.81 1.82 Bank it
Sat May 15
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
7th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.56 1.80 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
11th · 0-0-3 · GD -6
Home
SilverLakes Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.38 1.84 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea 2200 131+12 63.00 WW -2.34 +0.26 79% 2.9
2 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3300 122+10 93.00 WWW -2.13 +0.51 56% 4.3
3 FC Golden State Force 3210 143+11 72.33 WDW -0.66 +0.05 75% 3.3
4 LAIFC 3210 102+8 72.33 WDW -0.30 +0.03 56% 4.3
5 City SC Los Angeles 2110 112+9 42.00 DW -0.72 +0.01 62% 3.9
6 Los Angeles SC 2110 60+6 42.00 DW -1.11 +0.13 33% 5.5
7 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2110 53+2 42.00 DW +0.87 -0.16 18% 6.7
8 Rangers FC 2110 53+2 42.00 WD -0.20 +0.04 13% 7.2
9 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2110 31+2 42.00 WD -0.88 +0.18 5% 8.4
10 Fram Soccer Club 3111 54+1 41.33 DLW -0.35 +0.08 3% 8.8
11 Central Cal Aztecs 3003 39-6 00.00 LLL +1.11 -0.20 0% 11.2
12 Oaks FC 2002 112-11 00.00 LL +1.37 -0.04 0% 12.6
13 LA Surf Futures 3003 115-14 00.00 LLL +0.79 +0.00 0% 13.6
14 LA Surf LC 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.30 -0.10 0% 13.8
15 Total Futbol Academy 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.40 -0.13 0% 13.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.25 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.