TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Los Angeles

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U14 · 15 teams · ALBION SC Los Angeles (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 36 minutes ago.
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2nd
3-0-0 record · 3 played
3.00 points per game
+10 goal diff · 12–2
WWWlast 3
57% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.2
-2.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:05 PM

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ALBION SC Los Angeles
2nd · 3.00 PPG
vs
Los Angeles SC
6th · 2.00 PPG

Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School, Cantwell Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.6 against · 1.57 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Los AngelesLos Angeles SC
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-01-1-0
Points per game3.002.00
Goals for / game4.03.0
Goals against / game0.70.0
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W WW D
Biggest win5–1 vs Total Futbol Academy6–0 vs Total Futbol Academy
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.17+0.99
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-2.13-1.11

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy — we 5–1; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Los Angeles SC concede only 0.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 45% / draw 22% / loss 33%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    AC Brea sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above AC Brea on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Los Angeles SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Los Angeles – Los Angeles SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.50 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.50 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.25 PPG
5th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

12% finish 1st
57% top 4
43% below the top 4
4.2 average finish
  1. 1st 12%
  2. 2nd 15%
  3. 3rd 15%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea 3.00 (+0.00) 1st (2.20) Win next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Los Angeles to Los Angeles SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 favour them
-0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–1 0–6 5–1 0–3 0–0 ALBION SC Los Angel… 2nd Total Futbol Academy 15th LA Surf Futures 13th Fram Soccer Club 10th Los Angeles SC 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 19 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.51 · 1st hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:05 PM
Los Angeles SC
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +6
Home
Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.57 2.64 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
04:05 PM
FC Golden State Force
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +11
Home
Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.37 2.39 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
11th · 0-0-3 · GD -6
Away
Kaiser Sports Village
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.23 2.36 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
LAIFC
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.51 2.24 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
AC Brea
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.29 2.12 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
7th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.61 2.07 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.75 2.13 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.03 2.12 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
5th · 1-1-0 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.15 2.04 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
9th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.95 2.04 Swing game
Tue May 25
06:15 PM
Rangers FC
8th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.69 2.01 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea 2200 131+12 63.00 WW -2.34 +0.26 79% 2.9
2 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3300 122+10 93.00 WWW -2.13 +0.51 57% 4.2
3 FC Golden State Force 3210 143+11 72.33 WDW -0.66 +0.05 74% 3.3
4 LAIFC 3210 102+8 72.33 WDW -0.30 +0.03 55% 4.3
5 City SC Los Angeles 2110 112+9 42.00 DW -0.72 +0.01 65% 3.8
6 Los Angeles SC 2110 60+6 42.00 DW -1.11 +0.13 34% 5.6
7 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2110 53+2 42.00 DW +0.87 -0.16 18% 6.7
8 Rangers FC 2110 53+2 42.00 WD -0.20 +0.04 12% 7.3
9 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2110 31+2 42.00 WD -0.88 +0.18 5% 8.4
10 Fram Soccer Club 3111 54+1 41.33 DLW -0.35 +0.08 2% 8.8
11 Central Cal Aztecs 3003 39-6 00.00 LLL +1.11 -0.20 0% 11.2
12 Oaks FC 2002 112-11 00.00 LL +1.37 -0.04 0% 12.7
13 LA Surf Futures 3003 115-14 00.00 LLL +0.79 +0.00 0% 13.6
14 LA Surf LC 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.30 -0.10 0% 13.8
15 Total Futbol Academy 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.40 -0.13 0% 13.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.25 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.