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Rangers FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U14 · 15 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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8th
1-1-0 record · 2 played
2.00 points per game
+2 goal diff · 5–3
WDlast 2
13% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.2
-0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 11:40 AM

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Rangers FC
8th · 2.00 PPG
at
LAIFC
4th · 2.33 PPG

Silverlakes Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.6 against · 0.83 expected points)

Season so farRangers FCLAIFC
Position8th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-02-1-0
Points per game2.002.33
Goals for / game2.53.3
Goals against / game1.50.7
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D WW D W
Biggest win4–2 at Central Cal Aztecs7–0 at LA Surf Futures
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.40+1.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.04-0.17

Common opponents: Central Cal Aztecs — we 4–2; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    LAIFC score 3.3/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    LAIFC concede only 0.7/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:40 AM at Silverlakes Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Santa Monica sit 7th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Santa Monica on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.33 PPG
9th▼ down 1 7th▲ up 1 9th▼ down 1
Win
2.33 PPG
4th▲ up 4 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Draw
1.67 PPG
9th▼ down 1 7th▲ up 1 9th▼ down 1
Loss
1.33 PPG
9th▼ down 1 7th▲ up 1 9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
13% top 4
87% below the top 4
7.2 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 17%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.18) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3.00 (+1.00) 5th (2.00) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
3 FC Golden State Force 2.33 (+0.33) 2nd (2.12) A point next game
4 LAIFC 2.33 (+0.33) 4th (2.02) A point next game
5 City SC Los Angeles 2.00 (+0.00) 3rd (2.03) A point next game
6 Los Angeles SC 2.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.83) A point next game
7 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.70) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC to LAIFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–2 0–1 1–4 2–2 Rangers FC 8th Central Cal Aztecs 11th FC Golden State For… 3rd LAIFC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 11 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 8th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
11:40 AM
LAIFC
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +8
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 1.61 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM
Los Angeles SC
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +6
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.17 1.50 Upside
Sun Nov 22
12:00 PM
AC Brea
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +12
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–3 0.86 1.37 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.52 1.56 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.66 1.72 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.67 1.59 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
15th · 0-0-4 · GD -19
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.57 1.70 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
5th · 1-1-0 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.01 1.63 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Oaks FC
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 1.70 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
7th · 1-1-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 1.68 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.65 1.68 Swing game
Tue May 25
06:15 PM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +10
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.12 1.64 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea 2200 131+12 63.00 WW -2.38 +0.29 79% 3.0
2 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3300 122+10 93.00 WWW -2.12 +0.53 54% 4.5
3 FC Golden State Force 3210 143+11 72.33 WDW -0.58 +0.05 77% 3.2
4 LAIFC 3210 102+8 72.33 WDW -0.17 +0.02 60% 4.1
5 City SC Los Angeles 2110 112+9 42.00 DW -0.72 +0.03 64% 3.9
6 Los Angeles SC 2110 60+6 42.00 DW -1.10 +0.15 32% 5.7
7 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2110 53+2 42.00 DW +0.86 -0.14 16% 6.8
8 Rangers FC 2110 53+2 42.00 WD -0.04 +0.03 13% 7.2
9 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2110 31+2 42.00 WD -0.92 +0.20 5% 8.5
10 Fram Soccer Club 3111 54+1 41.33 DLW -0.35 +0.10 2% 9.0
11 Central Cal Aztecs 4103 710-3 30.75 LLLW +0.10 +0.01 0% 10.5
12 Oaks FC 2002 112-11 00.00 LL +1.36 -0.02 0% 12.7
13 LA Surf Futures 3003 115-14 00.00 LLL +0.79 +0.03 0% 13.6
14 Total Futbol Academy 3003 117-16 00.00 LLL +1.39 -0.10 0% 13.5
15 LA Surf LC 4004 221-19 00.00 LLLL +0.83 -0.04 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.