Utah Athletic (North)
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U17 · 19 teams · Utah Athletic (North) (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 08:30 PM
Lakeside Sports Complex, 5123 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.3 against · 0.87 expected points)
| Season so far | Utah Athletic (North) | Utah Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 18th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 3-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | W W D W |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 at AZ SandSharks |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.66 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.23 |
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Utah Athletic concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 23%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 08:30 PM at Lakeside Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Denver Kickers Sports Club sit 17th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Denver Kickers Sports Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Utah Athletic game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Utah Athletic (North) – Utah Athletic) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
19th▼ down 1 | 19th▼ down 1 | 19th▼ down 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 17 | 1st▲ up 17 | 1st▲ up 17 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
6th▲ up 12 | 6th▲ up 12 | 6th▲ up 12 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
19th▼ down 1 | 19th▼ down 1 | 19th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 19th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 4%
- 2nd 5%
- 3rd 5%
- 4th 5%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 5%
- 7th 4%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 4%
- 10th 5%
- 11th 5%
- 12th 6%
- 13th 6%
- 14th 6%
- 15th 7%
- 16th 7%
- 17th 6%
- 18th 7%
- 19th 3%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utah Athletic | 2.50 (+2.50) | 1st (2.05) | A point next game |
| 2 | El Paso Surf | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (1.62) | A point next game |
| 3 | BVBIA Arizona | 1.60 (+1.60) | 5th (1.42) | A point next game |
| 4 | AZ SandSharks | 1.50 (+1.50) | 3rd (1.55) | A point next game |
| 5 | Inter Utah SC | 1.20 (+1.20) | 16th (1.38) | A point next game |
| 6 | ALBION SC Utah | 0.20 (+0.20) | 19th (0.55) | Already ahead |
| 7 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0.00 (+0.00) | 11th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 8 | ALBION SC Denver | 0.00 (+0.00) | 17th (1.37) | Already ahead |
| 9 | ALBION SC Las Vegas | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 10 | BVBIA Las Vegas | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 11 | City SC NOCO | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 12 | Colorado Elevation FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 15th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 13 | Colorado Rush | 0.00 (+0.00) | 12th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 14 | Colorado Rush - COS | 0.00 (+0.00) | 10th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 15 | Colorado Storm | 0.00 (+0.00) | 14th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 16 | Colorado United | 0.00 (+0.00) | 18th (1.37) | Already ahead |
| 17 | Denver Kickers Sports Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.38) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
10 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.00 · 16th hardest of 19
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 08:30 PM |
Utah Athletic 1st · 3-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away Lakeside Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 0.87 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 01:00 PM |
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.06 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 09:00 AM |
ALBION SC Las Vegas 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Aventura Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Las Vegas 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.55 | 1.23 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 01:00 PM |
Inter Utah SC 5th · 2-0-3 · GD +3 |
Away Lone Peak High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.10 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 03:00 PM |
ALBION SC Utah 6th · 0-1-4 · GD -12 |
Away Trailside East Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
3–2 | 1.91 | 1.32 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 04:00 PM |
ALBION SC Utah 6th · 0-1-4 · GD -12 |
Home Murray Park Turf Fields · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.21 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 04:00 PM |
Inter Utah SC 5th · 2-0-3 · GD +3 |
Home Murray Park Turf Fields · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.41 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
AZ SandSharks 4th · 3-0-3 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.10 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
El Paso Surf 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
BVBIA Arizona 3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home Regional Athletic Complex (RAC) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.57 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Utah Athletic 1st · 3-1-0 · GD +5 |
Home Murray Park Turf Fields · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.13 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
AZ SandSharks 4th · 3-0-3 · GD +3 |
Home Regional Athletic Complex (RAC) |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.38 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Utah Athletic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 | 2.50 | WDWW | -0.23 | -0.10 | 86% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs El Paso Surf · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC Utah · Sat Nov 7 vs Utah Athletic (North) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | El Paso Surf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.28 | -0.03 | 39% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Utah · Sun Oct 25 at Utah Athletic · Sat Mar 6 vs ALBION SC Denver See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | BVBIA Arizona | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 8 | 1.60 | LWDDW | +0.02 | +0.08 | 16% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Inter Utah SC · Sat Mar 6 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Sun Mar 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | AZ SandSharks | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 9 | 1.50 | LLWLW | -0.08 | +0.03 | 29% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inter Utah SC · Sat Mar 6 vs Colorado Elevation FC · Sun Mar 7 vs ALBION SC Denver See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Inter Utah SC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | -0.34 | +0.11 | 14% | 10.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AZ SandSharks · Sun Oct 25 vs BVBIA Arizona · Sat Nov 14 at Utah Athletic See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Utah | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +0.29 | +0.10 | 0% | 18.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs El Paso Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Utah Athletic · Sat Jan 30 at ALBION SC Las Vegas See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.01 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at Colorado Rush · Sun Jan 24 at Colorado Elevation FC · Sat Jan 30 vs ALBION SC Denver See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Denver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.03 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs Denver Kickers Sports Club · Sun Jan 24 at City SC NOCO · Sat Jan 30 at ALBION SC Boulder County See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | ALBION SC Las Vegas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.03 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at BVBIA Las Vegas · Sat Dec 5 vs BVBIA Las Vegas · Sun Dec 6 vs Villarreal Las Vegas Academy See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | BVBIA Las Vegas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.03 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sat Dec 5 at ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sun Jan 24 vs Utah Athletic See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | City SC NOCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at Colorado United · Sun Jan 24 vs ALBION SC Denver · Sat Jan 30 vs Denver Kickers Sports Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Colorado Elevation FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.01 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Colorado Storm · Sat Jan 23 vs Colorado Rush · Sun Jan 24 vs ALBION SC Boulder County See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Colorado Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.01 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Sat Jan 23 at Colorado Elevation FC · Sun Jan 24 at Colorado United See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Colorado Rush - COS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at Colorado Storm · Sat Jan 30 at Colorado Rush · Sun Jan 31 at ALBION SC Boulder County See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Colorado Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.01 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at Colorado Elevation FC · Sat Jan 23 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Sun Jan 24 vs Denver Kickers Sports Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Colorado United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.03 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs City SC NOCO · Sun Jan 24 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Denver Kickers Sports Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at ALBION SC Denver · Sun Jan 24 at Colorado Storm · Sat Jan 30 at City SC NOCO See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | Utah Athletic (North) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.00 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 at Utah Athletic · Sat Jan 30 at Villarreal Las Vegas Academy · Sun Jan 31 at ALBION SC Las Vegas See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | Villarreal Las Vegas Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.00 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 6 at ALBION SC Las Vegas · Sun Jan 17 vs Inter Utah SC · Sun Jan 24 vs ALBION SC Las Vegas See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.