TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Las Vegas

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U17 · 19 teams · ALBION SC Las Vegas (all teams)

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9th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
20% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 21, 05:00 PM

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ALBION SC Las Vegas
9th · 0.00 PPG
at
BVBIA Las Vegas
10th · 0.00 PPG

Chaparral Highschool, Chaparral Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.3 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Las VegasBVBIA Las Vegas
Position9th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    BVBIA Las Vegas average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:00 PM at Chaparral Highschool.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Denver sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Denver on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BVBIA Las Vegas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Las Vegas – BVBIA Las Vegas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 10 19th▼ down 10 19th▼ down 10
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 8 2nd▲ up 7 2nd▲ up 7
Draw
1.00 PPG
6th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 10 19th▼ down 10 19th▼ down 10

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 17th even if every rival loses, and as low as 19th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
20% top 4
80% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 5%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 6%
  16. 16th 5%
  17. 17th 6%
  18. 18th 6%
  19. 19th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic 2.50 (+2.50) 1st (2.05) A point next game
2 El Paso Surf 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (1.62) A point next game
3 BVBIA Arizona 1.60 (+1.60) 5th (1.42) A point next game
4 AZ SandSharks 1.50 (+1.50) 3rd (1.55) A point next game
5 Inter Utah SC 1.20 (+1.20) 16th (1.38) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Utah 0.20 (+0.20) 19th (0.55) Already ahead
7 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.38) Already ahead
8 ALBION SC Denver 0.00 (+0.00) 17th (1.37) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 5th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 21
05:00 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.25 Upside
Sat Dec 5
01:00 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.40 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
01:00 PM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.45 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Utah Athletic
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.13 1.37 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.35 Upside
Sat Jan 30
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Utah
6th · 0-1-4 · GD -12
Home
Aventura Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 1.49 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
09:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.50 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
09:00 AM
City SC NOCO
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.51 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
09:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Aventura Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.51 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.49 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Utah Athletic
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 1.43 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.27 1.42 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.14 1.39 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
4th · 3-0-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.42 1.40 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.57 1.41 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic 4310 94+5 102.50 WDWW -0.23 -0.10 87% 2.4
2 El Paso Surf 3201 54+1 62.00 WLW +0.28 -0.03 37% 6.9
3 BVBIA Arizona 5221 1111+0 81.60 LWDDW +0.02 +0.08 15% 9.9
4 AZ SandSharks 6303 1613+3 91.50 LLWLW -0.08 +0.03 28% 7.8
5 Inter Utah SC 5203 1310+3 61.20 WLWLL -0.34 +0.11 14% 10.4
6 ALBION SC Utah 5014 921-12 10.20 LLLDL +0.29 +0.10 0% 18.6
7 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
8 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
9 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
10 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——
11 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
12 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
13 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
14 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
15 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
18 Utah Athletic (North) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.