TableChase Clubs

Colorado Elevation FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U17 · 19 teams · Colorado Elevation FC (all teams)

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12th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
15% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.4
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 19, 02:00 PM

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Colorado Elevation FC
12th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Colorado Storm
15th · 0.00 PPG

South Suburban Parks & Rec (SSPR): David A. Lo, Middle Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.0 against · 1.55 expected points)

Season so farColorado Elevation FCColorado Storm
Position12th15th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Colorado Storm average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 45% / draw 20% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    City SC NOCO sit 11th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above City SC NOCO on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Elevation FC – Colorado Storm) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Dec 14 – Sun Dec 20); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 11 1st▲ up 11 1st▲ up 11
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 11 1st▲ up 11 1st▲ up 11
Draw
1.00 PPG
6th▲ up 6 6th▲ up 6 6th▲ up 6
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 7 19th▼ down 7 19th▼ down 7

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
15% top 4
85% below the top 4
10.4 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 4%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 6%
  16. 16th 6%
  17. 17th 7%
  18. 18th 6%
  19. 19th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic 2.50 (+2.50) 1st (2.05) A point next game
2 El Paso Surf 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (1.62) A point next game
3 BVBIA Arizona 1.60 (+1.60) 5th (1.42) A point next game
4 AZ SandSharks 1.50 (+1.50) 3rd (1.55) A point next game
5 Inter Utah SC 1.20 (+1.20) 16th (1.38) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Utah 0.20 (+0.20) 19th (0.55) Already ahead
7 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.38) Already ahead
8 ALBION SC Denver 0.00 (+0.00) 17th (1.37) Already ahead
9 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.41) Already ahead
10 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 4th (1.43) Already ahead
11 City SC NOCO 0.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.38) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 8th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Dec 19
02:00 PM
Colorado Storm
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
South Suburban Parks & Rec (SSPR): David A. Lo
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.55 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.55 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.55 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.48 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.49 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.50 Swing game
Sat Feb 20
10:00 AM
Colorado United
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.47 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.44 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.42 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.40 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
4th · 3-0-3 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.10 1.37 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.27 1.36 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.38 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.37 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.36 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.35 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.37 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Colorado United
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.38 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic 4310 94+5 102.50 WDWW -0.23 -0.10 86% 2.4
2 El Paso Surf 3201 54+1 62.00 WLW +0.28 -0.03 38% 6.8
3 BVBIA Arizona 5221 1111+0 81.60 LWDDW +0.02 +0.08 15% 10.1
4 AZ SandSharks 6303 1613+3 91.50 LLWLW -0.08 +0.03 28% 7.8
5 Inter Utah SC 5203 1310+3 61.20 WLWLL -0.34 +0.11 15% 10.4
6 ALBION SC Utah 5014 921-12 10.20 LLLDL +0.29 +0.10 0% 18.6
7 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
8 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
9 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
10 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——
11 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
12 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
13 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
14 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
15 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
18 Utah Athletic (North) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.