TableChase Clubs

Inter Utah SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U17 · 19 teams · Inter Utah SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 12 minutes ago.
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5th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
+3 goal diff · 13–10
WLWLLlast 5
15% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.4
-0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Inter Utah SC
5th · 1.20 PPG
vs
AZ SandSharks
4th · 1.50 PPG

Lone Peak High School, Soccer Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.6 for, 2.3 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so farInter Utah SCAZ SandSharks
Position5th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-33-0-3
Points per game1.201.50
Goals for / game2.62.7
Goals against / game2.02.2
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L L W L WW L W L L
Biggest win5–1 vs ALBION SC Utah7–2 vs ALBION SC Utah
Worst loss2–3 vs Utah Athletic0–3 vs BVBIA Arizona
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.27+0.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.34-0.08

Common opponents: ALBION SC Utah — we 5–1, 4–2; they 7–2. Utah Athletic — we 2–3; they 0–3. BVBIA Arizona — we 1–2; they 6–2, 0–3. El Paso Surf — we 1–2; they 1–2, 2–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 18% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    AZ SandSharks sit 4th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.20.

    A win moves us above AZ SandSharks on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AZ SandSharks game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Inter Utah SC – AZ SandSharks) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.17 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
1.50 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1
Draw
1.17 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
15% top 4
85% below the top 4
10.4 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 7%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 6%
  16. 16th 7%
  17. 17th 6%
  18. 18th 5%
  19. 19th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.31 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic 2.50 (+1.30) 1st (2.05) 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
2 El Paso Surf 2.00 (+0.80) 2nd (1.62) 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
3 BVBIA Arizona 1.60 (+0.40) 5th (1.42) 15 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
4 AZ SandSharks 1.50 (+0.30) 3rd (1.55) Win next game

How the results connect

18 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Inter Utah SC to AZ SandSharks through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
2 even
8 favour them
+0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 2–1 5–1 2–7 1–2 1–2 3–0 2–3 3–0 4–2 2–6 3–3 1–1 1–2 Inter Utah SC 5th El Paso Surf 2nd ALBION SC Utah 6th BVBIA Arizona 3rd Utah Athletic 1st AZ SandSharks 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 10th 19th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.11 · 1st hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM
AZ SandSharks
4th · 3-0-3 · GD +3
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.58 1.26 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +0
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.73 1.33 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
07:00 PM
Utah Athletic
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +5
Away
Lakeside Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.99 1.29 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.30 Upside
Sat Jan 30
03:00 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.31 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.71 1.34 Swing game
Tue May 25
01:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.71 1.37 Swing game
Tue May 25
04:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Murray Park Turf Fields · turf
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.38 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic 4310 94+5 102.50 WDWW -0.23 -0.10 86% 2.4
2 El Paso Surf 3201 54+1 62.00 WLW +0.28 -0.03 36% 6.8
3 BVBIA Arizona 5221 1111+0 81.60 LWDDW +0.02 +0.08 16% 9.7
4 AZ SandSharks 6303 1613+3 91.50 LLWLW -0.08 +0.03 29% 7.6
5 Inter Utah SC 5203 1310+3 61.20 WLWLL -0.34 +0.11 15% 10.4
6 ALBION SC Utah 5014 921-12 10.20 LLLDL +0.29 +0.10 0% 18.6
7 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
8 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
9 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
10 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.03 ——
11 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
12 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
13 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
14 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
15 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.03 ——
17 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
18 Utah Athletic (North) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.