Orland Park Sting FC
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U12 · 7 teams · Orland Park Sting FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:00 AM
Schussler Park Red Turf #2, Red Turf #2 ↗ · turf
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.5 for, 1.8 against · 2.26 expected points)
| Season so far | Orland Park Sting FC | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-0 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W L D W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at Chicago City Soccer Club | 8–3 vs Chicago City Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | — | 2–3 vs Orland Park Sting FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.97 | +0.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.00 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 3–2 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club (W)
Common opponents: United Elite SC — we 2–1, 2–1; they 2–2. FC1 Academy — we 3–1; they 2–1. Chicago City Soccer Club — we 8–0; they 8–3.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 71% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Orland Park Sting FC – Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.71 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.57 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 99%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
9 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Orland Park Sting FC to Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.59 · 7th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Home Schussler Park Red Turf #2 · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.26 | 2.89 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 12:00 PM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Away Community Park West |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
5–1 | 2.77 | 2.88 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home Schussler Park Blue Turf #1 · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
5–1 | 2.87 | 2.88 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 22 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
5–1 | 2.67 | 2.86 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
5–1 | 2.87 | 2.86 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 6th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–0 | 2.69 | 2.84 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 2.77 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 2.72 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.26 | 2.69 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
5–1 | 2.81 | 2.70 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 6th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.52 | 2.69 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.21 | 2.66 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.10 | -0.59 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FC1 Academy Futures · Sun Nov 8 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Chicago Rush | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.32 | -0.19 | 98% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Fri Oct 16 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 7 | 1.75 | WDLW | -0.00 | -0.27 | 99% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 at United Elite SC · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy Futures · Sat Oct 31 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | United Elite SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WLDL | +0.88 | -0.40 | 93% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy · Fri Nov 6 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.31 | +0.09 | 5% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs United Elite SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC1 Academy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.07 | -0.15 | 5% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 16 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at United Elite SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC1 Academy Futures | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | -0.28 | +0.28 | 0% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Fri Nov 6 at United Elite SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Orland Park Sting FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.