Chicago Rush
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U12 · 7 teams · Chicago Rush (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 10:00 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.4 against · 1.59 expected points)
| Season so far | Chicago Rush | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-1 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L | W L D W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at FC1 Academy Futures | 8–3 vs Chicago City Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | 1–5 vs Orland Park Sting FC | 2–3 vs Orland Park Sting FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | +0.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | -0.00 |
Common opponents: Orland Park Sting FC — we 1–5; they 2–3. FC1 Academy — we 4–0; they 2–1.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Rush – Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.75 PPG |
2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 1.75 PPG |
2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 44%
- 3rd 34%
- 4th 20%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 3.00 (+1.00) | 1st (2.66) | 48 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
How the results connect
8 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Chicago Rush to Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.19 · 4th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 04:00 PM no score posted |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away Wells HS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
4–2 | 2.14 | 2.04 | Swing game |
| Fri Oct 16 06:30 PM no score posted |
FC1 Academy 6th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away Community Park West |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Home West Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.59 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 12:00 PM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away 11v11 (Back field by baseball) - Bott Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.42 | 1.88 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home West Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 1.97 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
4–2 | 2.43 | 2.02 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.42 | 1.96 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 1.86 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.59 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 6th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 1.91 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
4–2 | 2.14 | 1.92 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.70 | 1.91 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 12:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.25 | 1.87 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.64 | 1.80 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.10 | -0.59 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FC1 Academy Futures · Sun Nov 8 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Chicago Rush | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.32 | -0.19 | 99% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Fri Oct 16 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 7 | 1.75 | WDLW | -0.00 | -0.27 | 99% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 at United Elite SC · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy Futures · Sat Oct 31 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | United Elite SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WLDL | +0.88 | -0.40 | 93% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy · Fri Nov 6 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.31 | +0.09 | 4% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs United Elite SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC1 Academy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.07 | -0.15 | 5% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 16 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at United Elite SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC1 Academy Futures | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | -0.28 | +0.28 | 0% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Fri Nov 6 at United Elite SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Orland Park Sting FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.