FC1 Academy
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U12 · 7 teams · FC1 Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Community Park West, Field 6 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.9 for, 2.6 against · 1.54 expected points)
| Season so far | FC1 Academy | Chicago City Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 1-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 5.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | L W L L |
| Biggest win | — | 8–3 at FC1 Academy Futures |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at Chicago Rush | 0–8 vs Orland Park Sting FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.91 | -1.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.07 | +0.31 |
Common opponents: Orland Park Sting FC — we 1–3; they 0–8. Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 3–8.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
Chicago City Soccer Club concede 5.2/game; worst result 0–8 vs Orland Park Sting FC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at Chicago Rush.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 46% / draw 17% / loss 37%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Chicago City Soccer Club sit 5th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.00.A win moves us above Chicago City Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chicago City Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC1 Academy – Chicago City Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.25 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 40%
- 6th 39%
- 7th 16%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.66) | 54 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Chicago Rush | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (1.80) | 36 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 1.75 (+1.75) | 3rd (1.78) | 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 4 | United Elite SC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 4th (1.54) | 18 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 5 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 0.75 (+0.75) | 5th (0.88) | Win next game |
How the results connect
9 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link FC1 Academy to Chicago City Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.15 · 3rd hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Oct 16 06:30 PM no score posted |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home Community Park West |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 0.20 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Community Park West |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.54 | 0.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 01:30 PM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away 11v11 (Back field by baseball) - Bott Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.75 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Away McKinley Park Turf · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.54 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Thu Dec 31 10:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home Community Park West |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 0.68 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 0.98 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.23 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.52 | 0.75 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.54 | 0.81 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.75 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.54 | 0.79 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.37 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 0.83 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–3 | 1.19 | 0.85 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.10 | -0.59 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FC1 Academy Futures · Sun Nov 8 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Chicago Rush | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.32 | -0.19 | 99% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Fri Oct 16 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 7 | 1.75 | WDLW | -0.00 | -0.27 | 99% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 at United Elite SC · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy Futures · Sat Oct 31 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | United Elite SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WLDL | +0.88 | -0.40 | 93% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy · Fri Nov 6 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.31 | +0.09 | 4% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs United Elite SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC1 Academy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.07 | -0.15 | 4% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 16 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at United Elite SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC1 Academy Futures | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | -0.28 | +0.28 | 0% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Fri Nov 6 at United Elite SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Orland Park Sting FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.