Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U12 · 7 teams · Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:00 PM
McKinley Park Turf, Turf ↗ · turf
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.0 for, 1.8 against · 2.63 expected points)
| Season so far | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | FC1 Academy Futures |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-1 | 0-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L D W | L L |
| Biggest win | 8–3 vs Chicago City Soccer Club | — |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs Orland Park Sting FC | 3–8 vs Chicago City Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.69 | -1.85 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.00 | -0.28 |
Common opponents: Chicago City Soccer Club — we 8–3; they 3–8.
Game plan
-
They leak goals — be greedy
FC1 Academy Futures concede 6.0/game; worst result 3–8 vs Chicago City Soccer Club.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 85% chance; likely score 5–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
What a win does
Chicago Rush sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.A win moves us above Chicago Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC1 Academy Futures game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club – FC1 Academy Futures) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.60 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 1.40 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 43%
- 3rd 37%
- 4th 19%
- 5th 1%
- 6th
- 7th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.72 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 3.00 (+1.25) | 1st (2.66) | 47 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 2 | Chicago Rush | 2.00 (+0.25) | 2nd (1.80) | Win next game |
How the results connect
5 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club to FC1 Academy Futures through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.27 · 5th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Oct 23 07:30 PM no score posted |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away 315 Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.68 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Home McKinley Park Turf · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
5–1 | 2.63 | 1.84 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away Schussler Park Red Turf #2 · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.60 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away West Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.23 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 6th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home McKinley Park Turf · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 1.69 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
4–2 | 2.17 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
United Elite SC 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
5–2 | 2.46 | 1.80 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.23 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
4–2 | 2.40 | 1.80 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy 6th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.60 | 1.76 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.57 | 1.75 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
FC1 Academy Futures 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
4–2 | 2.40 | 1.78 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orland Park Sting FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.10 | -0.59 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at FC1 Academy Futures · Sun Nov 8 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Chicago Rush | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.32 | -0.19 | 99% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Fri Oct 16 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 7 | 1.75 | WDLW | -0.00 | -0.27 | 99% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 at United Elite SC · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy Futures · Sat Oct 31 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | United Elite SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WLDL | +0.88 | -0.40 | 92% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 23 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs FC1 Academy · Fri Nov 6 vs FC1 Academy Futures See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.31 | +0.09 | 5% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 at FC1 Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs United Elite SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC1 Academy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.07 | -0.15 | 5% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 16 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago City Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at United Elite SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC1 Academy Futures | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | -0.28 | +0.28 | 0% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Fri Nov 6 at United Elite SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Orland Park Sting FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.