PSA Monmouth Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 7 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 02:00 PM
DeCou Field Complex, Lower Turf ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.7 against · 0.41 expected points)
| Season so far | PSA Monmouth Pre | Cherry Hill FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-6 | 1-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 5.4 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W | W |
| Biggest win | 1–0 vs YMS Pre | 3–1 vs PDA South Pre- White |
| Worst loss | 0–9 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.79 | -0.83 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +2.42 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–9 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- White, 0–5 vs Delaware FC Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at DeCou Field Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Cherry Hill FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA Monmouth Pre – Cherry Hill FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.38 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.38 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 1%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 93%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.05 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 3.00 (+2.57) | 1st (2.84) | 54 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | PA Rush Pre | 2.33 (+1.90) | 2nd (1.84) | 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 3 | PDA South Pre- Blue | 1.83 (+1.40) | 4th (1.76) | 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | Delaware FC Pre | 1.75 (+1.32) | 3rd (1.77) | 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 5 | Cherry Hill FC Pre | 1.00 (+0.57) | 5th (1.07) | 16 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 6 | NLSA Surf Pre | 1.00 (+0.57) | 6th (0.87) | 16 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.16 · 3rd hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27 10:00 AM no score posted |
PA Rush Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Home The Ranney School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.25 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 02:00 PM |
Cherry Hill FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
DeCou Field Complex · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 PM |
PDA South Pre- Blue 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.21 | 0.39 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
PDA South Pre- Blue 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.32 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.36 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
PDA South Pre- White |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.36 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Delaware FC Pre 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.13 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Cherry Hill FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.62 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
NLSA Surf Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.74 | 0.40 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- White 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +53 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–9 | 0.00 | 0.38 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 10:15 AM |
PA Rush Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Rush Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.15 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
NLSA Surf Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.01 | 0.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | +53 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWW | -2.21 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 vs PDA South Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Delaware FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | PA Rush Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.62 | +0.11 | 97% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at PSA Monmouth Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Reading Rage Surf Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PDA South Pre- Blue | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | WLDW | +0.65 | -0.07 | 98% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at Match Fit Surf Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Delaware FC Pre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDWL | -1.17 | +0.19 | 97% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at NLSA Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Reading Rage Surf Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Cherry Hill FC Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | W | +0.00 | +0.20 | 8% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs YMS Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NLSA Surf Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 | 1.00 | WWLLL | +2.39 | -0.01 | 1% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Delaware FC Pre · Sat Feb 27 at Delaware FC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PSA Monmouth Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 38 | -35 | 3 | 0.43 | WLLL | +2.42 | +0.16 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs PA Rush Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at PDA South Pre- Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.28 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.