Delaware FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 7 teams · Delaware Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
Mercer County Community College, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.1 for, 1.2 against · 2.40 expected points)
| Season so far | Delaware FC Pre | NLSA Surf Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-1 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D W | L L L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at PSA Monmouth Pre | 3–1 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at PDA South Pre- Blue | 0–11 at Match Fit Surf Pre- White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.72 | -1.66 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.17 | +2.39 |
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at PDA South Pre- Blue.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 76% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
NLSA Surf Pre have lost 3 straight (form: WWLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Mercer County Community College.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
PDA South Pre- Blue sit 3rd on 1.83 PPG; we are on 1.75.A point moves us above PDA South Pre- Blue on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the NLSA Surf Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Delaware FC Pre – NLSA Surf Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.60 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Loss 1.40 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 29%
- 3rd 32%
- 4th 34%
- 5th 5%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 3.00 (+1.25) | 1st (2.84) | 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | PA Rush Pre | 2.33 (+0.58) | 2nd (1.84) | 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 3 | PDA South Pre- Blue | 1.83 (+0.08) | 4th (1.76) | A point next game |
How the results connect
2 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Delaware FC Pre to NLSA Surf Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.19 · 2nd hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
NLSA Surf Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away Mercer County Community College · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.40 | 1.88 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:30 AM |
Reading Rage Surf Pre |
Home Smith Estates · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 PM |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre |
Home Lower Tweeds |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 1.90 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
PA Rush Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Home Lower Tweeds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 03:00 PM |
NLSA Surf Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home Lower Tweeds |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.59 | 1.94 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 03:00 PM |
Match Fit Surf Pre- White 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +53 |
Home Lower Tweeds |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 1.79 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 10:00 AM |
Cherry Hill FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home Lower Tweeds |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 1.84 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
PSA Monmouth Pre 7th · 1-0-6 · GD -35 |
Home Smith Estates |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
4–0 | 2.82 | 1.92 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 03:30 PM |
PDA South Pre- Blue 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.59 | 1.90 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- White 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +53 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.25 | 1.78 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 10:15 AM |
PA Rush Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Rush Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Cherry Hill FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.07 | 1.77 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | +53 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWW | -2.21 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 vs PDA South Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Delaware FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | PA Rush Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.62 | +0.11 | 98% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at PSA Monmouth Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Reading Rage Surf Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PDA South Pre- Blue | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | WLDW | +0.65 | -0.07 | 97% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at Match Fit Surf Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Delaware FC Pre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDWL | -1.17 | +0.19 | 95% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at NLSA Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Reading Rage Surf Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Cherry Hill FC Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | W | +0.00 | +0.20 | 9% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs YMS Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NLSA Surf Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 | 1.00 | WWLLL | +2.39 | -0.01 | 2% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Delaware FC Pre · Sat Feb 27 at Delaware FC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PSA Monmouth Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 38 | -35 | 3 | 0.43 | WLLL | +2.42 | +0.16 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs PA Rush Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at PDA South Pre- Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.28 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.