PDA South Pre- Blue
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 7 teams · PDA South (all teams)
Next game — Thu Oct 29, 06:30 PM
Sycamore Sports Complex, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.6 against · 0.26 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA South Pre- Blue | Match Fit Surf Pre- White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-1 | 6-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 9.2 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs PDA South Pre- White | 14–0 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs YMS Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.43 | +4.22 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.65 | -2.21 |
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Match Fit Surf Pre- White score 9.2/game — well above the league's 2.3.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Match Fit Surf Pre- White concede only 0.3/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs YMS Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 6%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Match Fit Surf Pre- White have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 06:30 PM at Sycamore Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Thursday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Match Fit Surf Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA South Pre- Blue – Match Fit Surf Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.57 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.71 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.57 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 28%
- 3rd 36%
- 4th 34%
- 5th 2%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.61 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 3.00 (+1.17) | 1st (2.84) | 43 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | PA Rush Pre | 2.33 (+0.50) | 2nd (1.84) | 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
How the results connect
2 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link PDA South Pre- Blue to Match Fit Surf Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.07 · 6th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 29 06:30 PM |
Match Fit Surf Pre- White 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +53 |
Away far trip
Sycamore Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.26 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
West-Mont United Pre |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–1 | 1.79 | 1.63 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 PM |
PSA Monmouth Pre 7th · 1-0-6 · GD -35 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
3–0 | 2.71 | 1.75 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
PSA Monmouth Pre 7th · 1-0-6 · GD -35 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.57 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Cherry Hill FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
NLSA Surf Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.23 | 1.87 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 PM |
Match Fit Surf Pre- Blue |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–1 | 1.79 | 1.87 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 10:15 AM |
PA Rush Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Rush Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.22 | 1.82 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 03:30 PM |
Delaware FC Pre 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.16 | 1.78 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 09:00 AM |
Cherry Hill FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.15 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 12:00 PM |
NLSA Surf Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
2–0 | 2.44 | 1.84 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 09:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf Pre- White 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +53 |
Home Westampton Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 1.76 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Fit Surf Pre- White | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | +53 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWW | -2.21 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 vs PDA South Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Delaware FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | PA Rush Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.62 | +0.11 | 97% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at PSA Monmouth Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Reading Rage Surf Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PDA South Pre- Blue | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | WLDW | +0.65 | -0.07 | 98% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at Match Fit Surf Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Delaware FC Pre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDWL | -1.17 | +0.19 | 97% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at NLSA Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Reading Rage Surf Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Cherry Hill FC Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | W | +0.00 | +0.20 | 8% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs YMS Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NLSA Surf Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 | 1.00 | WWLLL | +2.39 | -0.01 | 1% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs West-Mont United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Delaware FC Pre · Sat Feb 27 at Delaware FC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PSA Monmouth Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 38 | -35 | 3 | 0.43 | WLLL | +2.42 | +0.16 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs PA Rush Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cherry Hill FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at PDA South Pre- Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.28 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.