TableChase Clubs

PDA Blue Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU12 · 10 teams · PDA Blue (North) (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 37 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
2-1-4 record · 7 played
1.00 points per game
-2 goal diff · 21–23
LWLDWlast 5
5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.3
-0.16 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 12:15 PM

Open the match preview →

PDA Blue Pre
7th · 1.00 PPG
at
PUNSC Pre
1st · 2.60 PPG

Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center, Field 6 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.1 for, 3.4 against · 0.80 expected points)

Season so farPDA Blue PrePUNSC Pre
Position7th1st
Record (W-D-L)2-1-44-1-0
Points per game1.002.60
Goals for / game3.02.8
Goals against / game3.31.6
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W D L W LD W W W W
Biggest win7–1 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray3–1 vs Pipeline SC Pre
Worst loss1–5 at FC DELCO Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.12+0.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.16+0.16

Common opponents: Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre — we 4–6; they 1–1. Match Fit Surf Pre — we 1–3; they 4–2. Pipeline SC Pre — we 3–2; they 3–1. Bethesda SC Pre — we 1–1; they 4–3.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:15 PM at Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PUNSC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA Blue Pre – PUNSC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.88 PPG
7th— holds 9th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 2
Win
1.25 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 8th▼ down 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
7th— holds 9th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 2
Loss
0.88 PPG
7th— holds 9th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
5% top 4
95% below the top 4
7.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 21%
  8. 8th 23%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.22 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 PUNSC Pre 2.60 (+1.60) 1st (2.03) 40 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
2 PDA White Pre- Mon l 2.20 (+1.20) 2nd (1.96) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 FC DELCO Pre 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (1.77) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 Match Fit Surf Pre 1.67 (+0.67) 4th (1.71) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
5 Bethesda SC Pre 1.67 (+0.67) 5th (1.48) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 1.29 (+0.29) 6th (1.39) 17 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link PDA Blue Pre to PUNSC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
17 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 3–4 3–2 1–3 4–6 1–1 1–3 2–4 3–2 4–3 4–5 2–0 3–2 1–2 4–2 7–1 0–3 0–7 PDA Blue Pre 7th Bethesda SC Pre 5th Pipeline SC Pre 8th Penn Fusion Soccer … 6th Match Fit Surf Pre 4th PDA White Pre- Mon l 2nd HEX FC Bucks Pre- G… 10th Maryland United FC … 9th PUNSC Pre 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 4th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
12:15 PM
PUNSC Pre
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.80 0.97 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:30 PM
Maryland United FC Pre
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -1
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.54 1.04 Swing game
Thu Mar 11
05:00 PM
PDA White Pre- Mon l
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●●○ Tough
29%
3–3 1.02 1.04 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre
6th · 2-3-2 · GD +2
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–2 1.10 1.04 Upside
Sat Mar 27
08:00 AM
FC DELCO Pre
3rd · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–3 1.18 1.05 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Maryland United FC Pre
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -1
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.20 1.06 Upside
Sat Apr 17
11:00 AM
Pipeline SC Pre
8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
3–2 1.67 1.11 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
Bethesda SC Pre
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
3–2 1.47 1.13 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD
HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -29
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.64 1.23 Bank it
Sat May 15
10:30 AM
PUNSC Pre
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.10 1.22 Upside
Sat May 22
10:30 AM
Match Fit Surf Pre
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
PDA Main Complex
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–3 1.18 1.22 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 PUNSC Pre 5410 148+6 132.60 WWWWD +0.16 -0.16 94% 2.1
2 PDA White Pre- Mon l 5320 2212+10 112.20 DWWWD -0.52 +0.03 93% 2.3
3 FC DELCO Pre 7421 2113+8 142.00 WWDWL -0.39 +0.12 76% 3.5
4 Match Fit Surf Pre 6312 2114+7 101.67 WWLLW -0.10 -0.05 69% 3.8
5 Bethesda SC Pre 6312 1715+2 101.67 WLWWD -0.34 +0.14 32% 5.4
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 7232 1412+2 91.29 LWDDD -0.07 +0.03 19% 6.0
7 PDA Blue Pre 7214 2123-2 71.00 LWLDW -0.16 +0.08 5% 7.3
8 Pipeline SC Pre 6123 1518-3 50.83 WDLLD +0.41 -0.15 4% 7.6
9 Maryland United FC Pre 5113 1011-1 40.80 LLLWD +0.41 -0.14 9% 7.0
10 HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray 6006 231-29 00.00 LLLLL +0.41 +0.29 0% 10.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.