HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU12 · 10 teams · HEX FC (all teams)

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10th

0-0-5 record · 5 played

0.00 points per game

-23 goal diff · 1–24

LLLLLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0

+0.54 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray
10th · 0.00 PPG

PDA Blue Pre
9th · 0.67 PPG

PDA Main Complex, Field 7 ↗ far trip

7% 9% 83%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.3 for, 3.9 against · 0.32 expected points)

Season so far	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray	PDA Blue Pre
Position	10th	9th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-5	1-1-4
Points per game	0.00	0.67
Goals for / game	0.2	2.3
Goals against / game	4.8	3.7
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	4	0
Form (recent first)	L L L L L	D L W L L
Biggest win	—	3–2 at Pipeline SC Pre
Worst loss	0–7 vs Match Fit Surf Pre	1–5 at FC DELCO Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-2.66	-0.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.54	+0.41

Common opponents: Match Fit Surf Pre — we 0–7; they 1–3. PDA White Pre- Mon l — we 1–8; they 4–5. Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre — we 0–3; they 4–6. Bethesda SC Pre — we 0–3; they 1–1. FC DELCO Pre — we 0–3; they 1–5.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–7 vs Match Fit Surf Pre, 0–3 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre, 0–3 at Bethesda SC Pre, 0–3 vs FC DELCO Pre.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 7%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at PDA Main Complex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PDA Blue Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray – PDA Blue Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.00 PPG	10th— holds	10th— holds	10th— holds
Win 0.50 PPG	10th— holds	10th— holds	10th— holds
Draw 0.17 PPG	10th— holds	10th— holds	10th— holds
Loss 0.00 PPG	10th— holds	10th— holds	10th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

10.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th 1%
10th 99%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.17 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	PUNSC Pre	2.60 (+2.60)	1st (2.05)	47 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
2	PDA White Pre- Mon l	2.20 (+2.20)	2nd (1.98)	40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3	FC DELCO Pre	2.00 (+2.00)	3rd (1.78)	36 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4	Match Fit Surf Pre	1.67 (+1.67)	4th (1.72)	31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5	Bethesda SC Pre	1.67 (+1.67)	5th (1.50)	31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre	1.33 (+1.33)	6th (1.44)	24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7	Pipeline SC Pre	0.83 (+0.83)	8th (1.15)	15 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8	Maryland United FC Pre	0.75 (+0.75)	7th (1.27)	14 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9	PDA Blue Pre	0.67 (+0.67)	9th (1.05)	13 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection

How the results connect

20 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray to PDA Blue Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

1 even

16 favour them

-2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 1st hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 12:00 PM	PDA Blue Pre 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8	Away far trip PDA Main Complex	●●●●● Very tough	7%	1–3	0.32	0.05	Upside
Sat Oct 31 10:15 AM	PUNSC Pre 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6	Home Council Rock South High School	●●●●● Very tough	5%	0–3	0.23	0.08	Upside
Sat Nov 7 12:00 PM	Pipeline SC Pre 7th · 1-2-3 · GD -3	Away far trip Baltimore Polytechnic Institute	●●●●● Very tough	6%	1–4	0.26	0.10	Upside
Sun Nov 8 10:30 AM	Maryland United FC Pre 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -1	Away far trip Indian Creek	●●●●● Very tough	5%	1–3	0.25	0.12	Upside
Sun Mar 21 TBD	Maryland United FC Pre 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -1	Home	●●●●● Very tough	9%	1–3	0.39	0.14	Upside
Sat Mar 27 TBD	Match Fit Surf Pre 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7	Away	●●●●● Very tough	2%	1–5	0.12	0.14	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	PDA White Pre- Mon l 2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10	Away	●●●●● Very tough	2%	1–5	0.08	0.14	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 6th · 2-2-2 · GD +2	Home	●●●●● Very tough	8%	0–3	0.37	0.15	Upside
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Bethesda SC Pre 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +2	Home	●●●●● Very tough	8%	1–3	0.32	0.17	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	FC DELCO Pre 3rd · 4-2-1 · GD +8	Away	●●●●● Very tough	3%	0–4	0.14	0.16	Upside
Sun May 2 TBD	PDA Blue Pre 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8	Home	●●●●● Very tough	12%	1–3	0.49	0.18	Upside
Sat May 8 TBD	PUNSC Pre 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6	Away	●●●●● Very tough	3%	0–4	0.14	0.18	Upside
Sun May 16 TBD	Pipeline SC Pre 7th · 1-2-3 · GD -3	Home	●●●●● Very tough	10%	1–3	0.41	0.19	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

PUNSC Pre

2.60

WWWWD

+0.16

-0.18

94%

2.1

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	4–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	4–3
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC DELCO Pre · Sat Oct 31 at HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA Blue Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–2	48%
·	Sun May 2	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat May 15	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–2	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA White Pre- Mon l

+10

2.20

DWWWD

-0.56

+0.02

92%

2.3

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	5–4
W	Sun Sep 20	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	8–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–0
D	Sun Aug 30	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	4–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Bethesda SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs FC DELCO Pre · Sat Nov 14 at PUNSC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	3–2	53%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	3–2	66%
·	Thu Mar 11	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	4–2	65%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	3–2	54%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	5–1	95%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	3–2	54%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	4–2	70%
·	Sat May 1	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	3–2	51%
·	Sat May 15	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–2	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC DELCO Pre

2.00

WWDWL

-0.40

+0.10

74%

3.5

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	1–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–0
D	Sat Oct 3	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	5–3
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PUNSC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at PDA White Pre- Mon l · Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–2	57%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat May 1	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	33%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–2	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Match Fit Surf Pre

1.67

WWLLW

-0.13

-0.06

70%

3.7

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	4–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	7–0
D	Sun Aug 30	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	4–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Bethesda SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	5–1	93%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	3–2	60%
·	Sat May 1	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–2	52%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	3–2	57%
·	Sat May 15	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat May 22	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–2	59%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Bethesda SC Pre

1.67

WLWWD

-0.37

+0.13

29%

5.4

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	4–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	3–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	3–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA White Pre- Mon l · Sat Oct 31 vs Match Fit Surf Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Maryland United FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–2	54%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–2	48%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	33%
·	Sun May 2	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	34%
·	Sun May 9	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–3	27%
·	Sat May 15	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–2	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre

1.33

LLWDD

-0.09

+0.01

26%

5.7

D	Sat Oct 17	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	1–1
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Aug 29	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	6–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Match Fit Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Pipeline SC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–2	29%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–0	80%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat May 8	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–2	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC Pre

-3

0.83

WDLLD

+0.32

-0.13

7.5

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	3–3
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	3–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	3–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	3–2
L	Sat Aug 29	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	1–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Match Fit Surf Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray · Sat Nov 14 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–2	29%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–3	29%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–4	17%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–2	38%
·	Sun May 16	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Maryland United FC Pre

-1

0.75

LLLW

+0.48

-0.14

10%

6.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Bethesda SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	3–2	56%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–3	30%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–3	24%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–2	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA Blue Pre

-8

0.67

LLWLD

+0.41

-0.12

8.1

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	1–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	4–5
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	1–5
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	4–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray · Sat Nov 7 at PUNSC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Maryland United FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–2	38%
·	Thu Mar 11	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	2–4	22%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	2–3	27%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	2–3	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray (10th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	2–3	24%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	2–3	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray

-23

0.00

LLLLL

+0.54

+0.18

10.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	1–8
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA Blue Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs PUNSC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Pipeline SC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	PUNSC Pre (1st)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	1–3	5%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (8th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Match Fit Surf Pre (4th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	PDA White Pre- Mon l (2nd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (6th)	0–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (5th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FC DELCO Pre (3rd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun May 2	vs	PDA Blue Pre (9th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat May 8	at	PUNSC Pre (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (7th)	1–3	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.