TableChase Clubs

FC DELCO Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU12 · 10 teams · FC DELCO (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 39 minutes ago.
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3rd
4-2-1 record · 7 played
2.00 points per game
+8 goal diff · 21–13
WWDWLlast 5
74% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.5
-0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:15 AM

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FC DELCO Pre
3rd · 2.00 PPG
vs
PUNSC Pre
1st · 2.60 PPG

Parkside Fields, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.1 against · 1.48 expected points)

Season so farFC DELCO PrePUNSC Pre
Position3rd1st
Record (W-D-L)4-2-14-1-0
Points per game2.002.60
Goals for / game3.02.8
Goals against / game1.91.6
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W D W WD W W W W
Biggest win5–1 vs PDA Blue Pre3–1 vs Pipeline SC Pre
Worst loss1–4 at Maryland United FC Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.63+0.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.40+0.16

Common opponents: Pipeline SC Pre — we 3–3; they 3–1. Bethesda SC Pre — we 5–3; they 4–3. Match Fit Surf Pre — we 3–1; they 4–2. Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre — we 1–1; they 1–1. Maryland United FC Pre — we 1–4; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 43% / draw 20% / loss 38%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:15 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PUNSC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC DELCO Pre – PUNSC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.88 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.13 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.88 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
1.75 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st
74% top 4
26% below the top 4
3.5 average finish
  1. 1st 10%
  2. 2nd 18%
  3. 3rd 25%
  4. 4th 21%
  5. 5th 15%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.61 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 PUNSC Pre 2.60 (+0.60) 1st (2.05) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
2 PDA White Pre- Mon l 2.20 (+0.20) 2nd (1.98) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection

How the results connect

20 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC DELCO Pre to PUNSC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
5 even
8 favour them
-0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–1 3–1 2–4 5–3 3–4 3–3 1–3 1–4 1–2 3–0 0–3 3–2 5–1 1–3 0–3 4–3 2–3 FC DELCO Pre 3rd Penn Fusion Soccer … 6th Match Fit Surf Pre 4th Bethesda SC Pre 5th Pipeline SC Pre 7th Maryland United FC … 8th HEX FC Bucks Pre- G… 10th PDA Blue Pre 9th PUNSC Pre 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:15 AM
PUNSC Pre
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6
Home
Parkside Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.48 1.94 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM
PDA White Pre- Mon l
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Away far trip
Walnut School
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.10 1.84 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Bethesda SC Pre
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.52 1.81 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
Pipeline SC Pre
7th · 1-2-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.71 1.80 Swing game
Sat Mar 27
08:00 AM
PDA Blue Pre
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8
Away far trip
PDA Main Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
3–2 1.89 1.81 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Match Fit Surf Pre
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.25 1.76 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre
6th · 2-2-2 · GD +2
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.75 1.76 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray
10th · 0-0-5 · GD -23
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.80 1.83 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
PUNSC Pre
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6
Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 1.79 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Maryland United FC Pre
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.92 1.80 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
PDA White Pre- Mon l
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.45 1.78 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 PUNSC Pre 5410 148+6 132.60 WWWWD +0.16 -0.18 95% 2.1
2 PDA White Pre- Mon l 5320 2212+10 112.20 DWWWD -0.56 +0.02 92% 2.3
3 FC DELCO Pre 7421 2113+8 142.00 WWDWL -0.40 +0.10 74% 3.5
4 Match Fit Surf Pre 6312 2114+7 101.67 WWLLW -0.13 -0.06 68% 3.8
5 Bethesda SC Pre 6312 1715+2 101.67 WLWWD -0.37 +0.13 29% 5.4
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 6222 1311+2 81.33 LLWDD -0.09 +0.01 25% 5.7
7 Pipeline SC Pre 6123 1518-3 50.83 WDLLD +0.32 -0.13 4% 7.5
8 Maryland United FC Pre 4103 910-1 30.75 LLLW +0.48 -0.14 10% 6.7
9 PDA Blue Pre 6114 1422-8 40.67 LLWLD +0.41 -0.12 2% 8.0
10 HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray 5005 124-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.54 +0.18 0% 10.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.