FC DELCO Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU12 · 10 teams · FC DELCO (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:15 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.1 against · 1.48 expected points)
| Season so far | FC DELCO Pre | PUNSC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-1 | 4-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D W W | D W W W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs PDA Blue Pre | 3–1 vs Pipeline SC Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Maryland United FC Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | +0.75 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.40 | +0.16 |
Common opponents: Pipeline SC Pre — we 3–3; they 3–1. Bethesda SC Pre — we 5–3; they 4–3. Match Fit Surf Pre — we 3–1; they 4–2. Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre — we 1–1; they 1–1. Maryland United FC Pre — we 1–4; they 2–1.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 43% / draw 20% / loss 38%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:15 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PUNSC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC DELCO Pre – PUNSC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.88 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.13 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.88 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 1.75 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 10%
- 2nd 18%
- 3rd 25%
- 4th 21%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 7%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.61 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PUNSC Pre | 2.60 (+0.60) | 1st (2.05) | 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 2 | PDA White Pre- Mon l | 2.20 (+0.20) | 2nd (1.98) | 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
How the results connect
20 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link FC DELCO Pre to PUNSC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 3rd hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:15 AM |
PUNSC Pre 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6 |
Home Parkside Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.48 | 1.94 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 10:30 AM |
PDA White Pre- Mon l 2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Walnut School |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–3 | 1.10 | 1.84 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Bethesda SC Pre 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.52 | 1.81 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 PM |
Pipeline SC Pre 7th · 1-2-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–2 | 1.71 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 27 08:00 AM |
PDA Blue Pre 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.89 | 1.81 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.25 | 1.76 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 6th · 2-2-2 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.75 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -23 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
4–0 | 2.80 | 1.83 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
PUNSC Pre 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +6 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 1.79 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Maryland United FC Pre 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
PDA White Pre- Mon l 2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.45 | 1.78 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PUNSC Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWWD | +0.16 | -0.18 | 95% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC DELCO Pre · Sat Oct 31 at HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA Blue Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | PDA White Pre- Mon l | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 11 | 2.20 | DWWWD | -0.56 | +0.02 | 92% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Bethesda SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs FC DELCO Pre · Sat Nov 14 at PUNSC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC DELCO Pre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 14 | 2.00 | WWDWL | -0.40 | +0.10 | 74% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PUNSC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at PDA White Pre- Mon l · Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Match Fit Surf Pre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLLW | -0.13 | -0.06 | 68% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Bethesda SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Bethesda SC Pre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | WLWWD | -0.37 | +0.13 | 29% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA White Pre- Mon l · Sat Oct 31 vs Match Fit Surf Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Maryland United FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 8 | 1.33 | LLWDD | -0.09 | +0.01 | 25% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Match Fit Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Pipeline SC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pipeline SC Pre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 5 | 0.83 | WDLLD | +0.32 | -0.13 | 4% | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Match Fit Surf Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray · Sat Nov 14 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Maryland United FC Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.48 | -0.14 | 10% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Bethesda SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | PDA Blue Pre | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 4 | 0.67 | LLWLD | +0.41 | -0.12 | 2% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray · Sat Nov 7 at PUNSC Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Maryland United FC Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | HEX FC Bucks Pre- Gray | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 24 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.54 | +0.18 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA Blue Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs PUNSC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Pipeline SC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.