FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU12 · 13 teams · Greater Libertyville Soccer Association (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
Oak Brook Park District, Turf ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.6 against · 1.27 expected points)
| Season so far | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-3 | 3-0-5 |
| Points per game | 0.83 | 1.13 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Goals against / game | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W L D | L L L W W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre | 8–0 vs Evolution Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–8 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 0–8 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.60 | -0.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.35 | +0.77 |
Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 2–2; they 1–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Blue — we 3–3; they 1–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Red — we 0–3; they 1–2. Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre — we 0–8; they 0–8, 0–7.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Red, 0–8 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 36%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Confidence is low on their side
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre have lost 3 straight (form: WWLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:30 PM at Oak Brook Park District.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.A point moves us above Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC 1974 Libertyville Pre – Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.86 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.14 PPG |
7th▲ up 3 | 8th▲ up 2 | 9th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.86 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.71 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 12th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th 1%
- 7th 8%
- 8th 18%
- 9th 24%
- 10th 34%
- 11th 15%
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.46 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 3.00 (+2.17) | 1st (2.61) | 67 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Force Pre | 2.71 (+1.88) | 2nd (2.41) | 61 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection |
| 3 | NWI Lions United Pre | 2.60 (+1.77) | 3rd (2.35) | 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection |
| 4 | Chicago Inter Pre- Red | 2.50 (+1.67) | 5th (1.99) | 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 5 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 2.25 (+1.42) | 4th (2.03) | 49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 6 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 1.80 (+0.97) | 6th (1.64) | 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 7 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza | 1.13 (+0.30) | 7th (1.36) | A point next game |
| 8 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre | 1.13 (+0.30) | 8th (1.15) | A point next game |
| 9 | Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre | 1.00 (+0.17) | 9th (1.13) | A point next game |
How the results connect
31 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link FC 1974 Libertyville Pre to Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 7th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 11 TBD no score posted |
FC Wisconsin Pre 6th · 6-0-4 · GD +13 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–3 | 0.95 | 0.85 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 18 TBD no score posted |
NWI Lions United Pre 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +26 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.16 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 8th · 3-0-5 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.27 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 05:30 PM |
FC Wisconsin Pre 6th · 6-0-4 · GD +13 |
Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
2–4 | 0.64 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 11:30 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 5th · 6-0-2 · GD +29 |
Home LTSC |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–4 | 0.49 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:30 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7th · 3-0-5 · GD +3 |
Home LTSC |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 TBD |
NWI Lions United Pre 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +26 |
Home LTSC |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–5 | 0.29 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre- Red 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.47 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Force Pre 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.36 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 5th · 6-0-2 · GD +29 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–4 | 0.30 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7th · 3-0-5 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
2–3 | 0.89 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 12th · 1-0-6 · GD -48 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
5–1 | 2.75 | 0.82 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Evolution Pre 13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 0.93 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 0.96 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Evolution Pre 13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
5–1 | 2.91 | 1.05 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 8th · 3-0-5 · GD -8 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 1.08 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 1st · 7-0-0 · GD +42 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–6 | 0.14 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 9th · 3-1-6 · GD -5 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.06 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 7 | +42 | 21 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.26 | -0.28 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Wisconsin Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs NWI Lions United Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Force Pre | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 4 | +24 | 19 | 2.71 | DWWWW | +0.02 | -0.15 | 98% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Chicago Inter Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 17 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | NWI Lions United Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | +26 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | -0.55 | -0.10 | 96% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Chicago Inter Pre- Red | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.18 | +0.08 | 43% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Evolution Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 10 | +29 | 18 | 2.25 | LWWWW | -1.62 | +0.67 | 61% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre · Sat Nov 7 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 25 | +13 | 18 | 1.80 | LWWLW | -0.35 | +0.26 | 2% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 9 | 1.13 | LLWLL | +0.23 | -0.00 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 9 | 1.13 | WWLLL | +0.77 | -0.17 | 0% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza · Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs NWI Lions United Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 10 | 1.00 | LLLWL | +0.18 | +0.10 | 0% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | DLWLL | +0.35 | +0.10 | 0% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Wisconsin Pre · Sun Oct 18 at NWI Lions United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Chicago Inter Pre- Blue | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 4 | 0.67 | WLDLL | +0.19 | +0.22 | 0% | 10.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 51 | -48 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLWL | -0.49 | +0.87 | 0% | 12.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza · Sat Nov 7 vs Evolution Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Evolution Pre | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 73 | -70 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.45 | +0.54 | 0% | 12.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sat Nov 7 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Mar 20 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.99 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.