TableChase Clubs

FC 1974 Libertyville Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU12 · 13 teams · Greater Libertyville Soccer Association (all teams)

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10th
1-2-3 record · 6 played
0.83 points per game
-6 goal diff · 15–21
DLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.3
+0.35 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

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FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
10th · 0.83 PPG
at

Oak Brook Park District, Turf ↗ · turf far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.6 against · 1.27 expected points)

Season so farFC 1974 Libertyville PreEclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-33-0-5
Points per game0.831.13
Goals for / game2.51.9
Goals against / game3.52.9
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L W L DL L L W W
Biggest win9–0 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre8–0 vs Evolution Pre
Worst loss0–8 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre0–8 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.60-0.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.35+0.77

Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 2–2; they 1–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Blue — we 3–3; they 1–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Red — we 0–3; they 1–2. Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre — we 0–8; they 0–8, 0–7.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Red, 0–8 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre have lost 3 straight (form: WWLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Oak Brook Park District.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.

    A point moves us above Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC 1974 Libertyville Pre – Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.86 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Win
1.14 PPG
7th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 1
Draw
0.86 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.71 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 18%
  9. 9th 24%
  10. 10th 34%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.46 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+2.17) 1st (2.61) 67 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Force Pre 2.71 (+1.88) 2nd (2.41) 61 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
3 NWI Lions United Pre 2.60 (+1.77) 3rd (2.35) 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 2.50 (+1.67) 5th (1.99) 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.25 (+1.42) 4th (2.03) 49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
6 FC Wisconsin Pre 1.80 (+0.97) 6th (1.64) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 1.13 (+0.30) 7th (1.36) A point next game
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 1.13 (+0.30) 8th (1.15) A point next game
9 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 1.00 (+0.17) 9th (1.13) A point next game

How the results connect

31 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC 1974 Libertyville Pre to Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
5 even
17 favour them
-0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–8 8–0 7–0 3–3 0–1 2–2 0–1 0–3 2–1 9–0 4–0 3–1 3–2 1–2 9–0 1–10 0–9 3–2 1–7 FC 1974 Libertyvill… 10th Eclipse Select Socc… 1st Chicago Inter Pre- … 11th Chicago Soccer Acad… 9th Chicago Inter Pre- … 4th Indiana Elite FC Pre 12th FC Wisconsin Pre 6th Rockford Raptors FC… 5th Eclipse Select Socc… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 14 Sep 20 Oct 10 Oct 18 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
TBD
no score posted
FC Wisconsin Pre
6th · 6-0-4 · GD +13
Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–3 0.95 0.85 Upside
Sun Oct 18
TBD
no score posted
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +26
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.16 0.76 Upside
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
8th · 3-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.27 0.82 Upside
Sun Nov 1
05:30 PM
FC Wisconsin Pre
6th · 6-0-4 · GD +13
Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
2–4 0.64 0.80 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:30 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 6-0-2 · GD +29
Home
LTSC
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–4 0.49 0.77 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:30 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-5 · GD +3
Home
LTSC
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.22 0.81 Upside
Sun Nov 22
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +26
Home
LTSC
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–5 0.29 0.77 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.47 0.75 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Force Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24
Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.36 0.72 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 6-0-2 · GD +29
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.30 0.70 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-5 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%
2–3 0.89 0.71 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -48
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
5–1 2.75 0.82 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 0.93 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–2 1.61 0.96 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–1 2.91 1.05 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
8th · 3-0-5 · GD -8
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.60 1.08 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +42
Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.14 1.04 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
9th · 3-1-6 · GD -5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.49 1.06 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 7700 497+42 213.00 WWWWW -0.26 -0.28 100% 1.3
2 Force Pre 7610 284+24 192.71 DWWWW +0.02 -0.15 98% 2.4
3 NWI Lions United Pre 5410 315+26 132.60 WDWWW -0.55 -0.10 96% 2.6
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6501 229+13 152.50 WWWLW -0.18 +0.08 43% 4.5
5 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 8602 3910+29 182.25 LWWWW -1.62 +0.67 61% 4.3
6 FC Wisconsin Pre 10604 3825+13 181.80 LWWLW -0.35 +0.26 2% 6.0
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 8305 2320+3 91.13 LLWLL +0.23 -0.00 0% 7.4
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 8305 1523-8 91.13 WWLLL +0.77 -0.17 0% 8.8
9 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10316 2530-5 101.00 LLLWL +0.18 +0.10 0% 8.8
10 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 6123 1521-6 50.83 DLWLL +0.35 +0.10 0% 9.3
11 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6114 922-13 40.67 WLDLL +0.19 +0.22 0% 10.5
12 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7106 351-48 30.43 LLLWL -0.49 +0.87 0% 12.1
13 Evolution Pre 100010 373-70 00.00 LLLLL +0.45 +0.54 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.99 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.