TableChase Clubs

Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU12 · 13 teams · Eclipse Select Soccer Club (all teams)

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1st
6-0-0 record · 6 played
3.00 points per game
+34 goal diff · 41–7
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.5
-0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:30 AM

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Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs

Oak Brook Park District, Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 6.0 for, 1.8 against · 2.77 expected points)

Season so farEclipse Select Soccer Club I PreFC 1974 Libertyville Pre
Position1st9th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-01-2-2
Points per game3.001.00
Goals for / game6.83.0
Goals against / game1.22.6
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WL W L D D
Biggest win9–0 at Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre9–0 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre
Worst loss—1–5 at Force Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.83+0.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.17-0.47

Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 9–0; they 2–2. Chicago Inter Pre- Red — we 7–5; they 0–3. Chicago Inter Pre- Blue — we 7–1; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 91% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC 1974 Libertyville Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre – FC 1974 Libertyville Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.71 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.57 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

61% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.5 average finish
  1. 1st 61%
  2. 2nd 26%
  3. 3rd 12%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre to FC 1974 Libertyville Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
2 favour them
+6.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–5 3–0 7–1 3–3 9–0 2–2 4–0 0–9 3–1 1–4 5–0 0–4 5–1 0–4 7–0 1–0 1–0 1–2 Eclipse Select Socc… 1st Chicago Inter Pre- … 4th Chicago Inter Pre- … 11th Chicago Soccer Acad… 10th Rockford Raptors FC… 7th Eclipse Select Socc… 8th Indiana Elite FC Pre 12th Force Pre 2nd FC 1974 Libertyvill… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 14 Sep 20 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.23 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 19
02:00 PM
no score posted
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.98 2.85 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
09:30 AM
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.77 2.84 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
FC Wisconsin Pre
6th · 5-0-4 · GD +12
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
5–2 2.64 2.82 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
12:30 PM
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +23
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.84 2.72 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Force Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24
Away far trip
Lippold Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.38 2.60 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:30 PM
Indiana Elite FC Pre
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.63 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.66 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–2 2.04 2.62 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 2.63 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +23
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
3–3 1.46 2.56 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 2.99 2.59 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
10th · 3-1-6 · GD -5
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
6–1 2.83 2.60 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Force Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.71 2.55 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.98 2.52 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
4–1 2.46 2.52 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
6th · 5-0-4 · GD +12
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
4–2 2.41 2.52 Bank it
Sun May 16
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
5–2 2.60 2.52 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.54 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 417+34 183.00 WWWWW -0.17 -0.23 100% 1.5
2 Force Pre 7610 284+24 192.71 DWWWW +0.08 -0.13 99% 2.2
3 NWI Lions United Pre 4310 263+23 102.50 WDWW -0.79 -0.04 97% 2.6
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6501 229+13 152.50 WWWLW -0.09 +0.08 59% 4.3
5 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 7502 3010+20 152.14 WLWWW -1.07 +0.43 43% 4.6
6 FC Wisconsin Pre 9504 3523+12 151.67 WLWWL -0.33 +0.25 2% 6.3
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7304 2115+6 91.29 LLLWL -0.34 +0.24 1% 7.2
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7304 1320-7 91.29 LWWLL +0.60 -0.01 0% 9.0
9 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5122 1513+2 51.00 DDLWL -0.47 +0.26 0% 8.4
10 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10316 2530-5 101.00 LLLWL +0.21 +0.12 0% 9.2
11 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6114 922-13 40.67 WLDLL +0.29 +0.22 0% 10.7
12 Indiana Elite FC Pre 6105 342-39 30.50 LLLLW -0.90 +0.90 0% 12.1
13 Evolution Pre 100010 373-70 00.00 LLLLL +0.44 +0.61 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.