TableChase Clubs

NWI Lions United Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU12 · 13 teams · NWI Lions United (all teams)

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3rd
3-1-0 record · 4 played
2.50 points per game
+23 goal diff · 26–3
WDWWlast 4
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.6
-0.79 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM

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NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 2.50 PPG
at

Mercyhealth Sportscore Two, FIELD TBA - (9v9) ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.4 against · 1.75 expected points)

Season so farNWI Lions United PreRockford Raptors FC Pre
Position3rd5th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-05-0-2
Points per game2.502.14
Goals for / game6.54.3
Goals against / game0.81.4
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W D WW W W L W
Biggest win11–0 at Evolution Pre10–1 vs Evolution Pre
Worst loss—1–4 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.90+1.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.79-1.07

Common opponents: FC Wisconsin Pre — we 8–1; they 2–0. Force Pre — we 1–1; they 1–2. Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 6–1; they 5–1. Evolution Pre — we 11–0; they 8–0, 10–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Rockford Raptors FC Pre score 4.3/game — well above the league's 3.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Rockford Raptors FC Pre concede only 1.4/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 53% / draw 17% / loss 31%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Rockford Raptors FC Pre have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:00 PM at Mercyhealth Sportscore Two.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rockford Raptors FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NWI Lions United Pre – Rockford Raptors FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.60 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.60 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Draw
2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

16% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
2.6 average finish
  1. 1st 16%
  2. 2nd 30%
  3. 3rd 40%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 2.92 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.54) 62 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 Force Pre 2.71 (+0.21) 2nd (2.42) 56 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection

How the results connect

27 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link NWI Lions United Pre to Rockford Raptors FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

24 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–1 6–1 1–5 11–0 1–10 0–8 8–1 0–2 8–0 6–1 0–8 2–3 0–7 2–0 NWI Lions United Pre 3rd Force Pre 2nd Chicago Soccer Acad… 10th Evolution Pre 13th FC Wisconsin Pre 6th Eclipse Select Socc… 8th Rockford Raptors FC… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 14 Sep 20 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 11th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 18
TBD
no score posted
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.64 2.53 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
05:00 PM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–2 1.75 2.40 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.26 2.38 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
09:30 AM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.57 2.40 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
12:30 PM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +34
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.01 2.25 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:30 AM
Indiana Elite FC Pre
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39
Away
Elite Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
8–0 2.99 2.32 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
01:30 PM
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Home
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.13 2.30 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
04:30 PM
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Home
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.86 2.35 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
LTSC
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
4–1 2.43 2.36 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 2.99 2.40 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
10th · 3-1-6 · GD -5
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.54 2.41 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Force Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24
Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.19 2.33 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
4–1 2.50 2.34 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–2 2.07 2.33 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +34
Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%
3–3 1.38 2.28 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -7
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.73 2.30 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
6th · 5-0-4 · GD +12
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.20 2.30 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.33 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.81 2.31 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.75 2.32 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 417+34 183.00 WWWWW -0.17 -0.23 100% 1.6
2 Force Pre 7610 284+24 192.71 DWWWW +0.08 -0.13 99% 2.2
3 NWI Lions United Pre 4310 263+23 102.50 WDWW -0.79 -0.04 96% 2.6
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6501 229+13 152.50 WWWLW -0.09 +0.08 56% 4.4
5 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 7502 3010+20 152.14 WLWWW -1.07 +0.43 46% 4.5
6 FC Wisconsin Pre 9504 3523+12 151.67 WLWWL -0.33 +0.25 2% 6.4
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7304 2115+6 91.29 LLLWL -0.34 +0.24 1% 7.2
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7304 1320-7 91.29 LWWLL +0.60 -0.01 0% 9.0
9 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5122 1513+2 51.00 DLDWL -0.47 +0.26 0% 8.4
10 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10316 2530-5 101.00 LLLWL +0.21 +0.12 0% 9.1
11 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6114 922-13 40.67 WLDLL +0.29 +0.22 0% 10.7
12 Indiana Elite FC Pre 6105 342-39 30.50 LLLLW -0.90 +0.90 0% 12.1
13 Evolution Pre 100010 373-70 00.00 LLLLL +0.44 +0.61 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.