NWI Lions United Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU12 · 13 teams · NWI Lions United (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two, FIELD TBA - (9v9) ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.4 against · 1.75 expected points)
| Season so far | NWI Lions United Pre | Rockford Raptors FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-0 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 6.5 | 4.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 11–0 at Evolution Pre | 10–1 vs Evolution Pre |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 vs Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.90 | +1.60 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.79 | -1.07 |
Common opponents: FC Wisconsin Pre — we 8–1; they 2–0. Force Pre — we 1–1; they 1–2. Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 6–1; they 5–1. Evolution Pre — we 11–0; they 8–0, 10–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Rockford Raptors FC Pre score 4.3/game — well above the league's 3.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Rockford Raptors FC Pre concede only 1.4/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 53% / draw 17% / loss 31%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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They arrive in form
Rockford Raptors FC Pre have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Mercyhealth Sportscore Two.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Rockford Raptors FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NWI Lions United Pre – Rockford Raptors FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.60 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.60 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 2.20 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 16%
- 2nd 30%
- 3rd 40%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 3%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 2.92 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 3.00 (+0.50) | 1st (2.54) | 62 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 2 | Force Pre | 2.71 (+0.21) | 2nd (2.42) | 56 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
How the results connect
27 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link NWI Lions United Pre to Rockford Raptors FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.04 · 11th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 18 TBD no score posted |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
4–1 | 2.64 | 2.53 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 24 05:00 PM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
3–2 | 1.75 | 2.40 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 11:30 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.26 | 2.38 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 09:30 AM |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 8th · 3-0-4 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
4–1 | 2.57 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 12:30 PM |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +34 |
Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.01 | 2.25 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 11:30 AM |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39 |
Away Elite Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
8–0 | 2.99 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 21 01:30 PM |
Chicago Inter Pre- Red 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home Crown Point Sportsplex · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–1 | 2.13 | 2.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 04:30 PM |
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13 |
Home Crown Point Sportsplex · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
5–1 | 2.86 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 22 TBD |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
LTSC |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
4–1 | 2.43 | 2.36 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 100% |
9–0 | 2.99 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10th · 3-1-6 · GD -5 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
4–1 | 2.54 | 2.41 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Force Pre 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.19 | 2.33 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
4–1 | 2.50 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
3–2 | 2.07 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +34 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
3–3 | 1.38 | 2.28 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 8th · 3-0-4 · GD -7 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
4–1 | 2.73 | 2.30 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
FC Wisconsin Pre 6th · 5-0-4 · GD +12 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
4–2 | 2.20 | 2.30 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Evolution Pre 13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 100% |
9–0 | 3.00 | 2.33 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre- Red 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.81 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.75 | 2.32 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 7 | +34 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.17 | -0.23 | 100% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Force Pre | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 4 | +24 | 19 | 2.71 | DWWWW | +0.08 | -0.13 | 99% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Chicago Inter Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 17 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | NWI Lions United Pre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 3 | +23 | 10 | 2.50 | WDWW | -0.79 | -0.04 | 96% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Chicago Inter Pre- Red | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.09 | +0.08 | 56% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Evolution Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 15 | 2.14 | WLWWW | -1.07 | +0.43 | 46% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 23 | +12 | 15 | 1.67 | WLWWL | -0.33 | +0.25 | 2% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 9 | 1.29 | LLLWL | -0.34 | +0.24 | 1% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 | 1.29 | LWWLL | +0.60 | -0.01 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Wisconsin Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 5 | 1.00 | DLDWL | -0.47 | +0.26 | 0% | 8.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Wisconsin Pre · Sun Oct 18 at NWI Lions United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 10 | 1.00 | LLLWL | +0.21 | +0.12 | 0% | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Chicago Inter Pre- Blue | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 4 | 0.67 | WLDLL | +0.29 | +0.22 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 42 | -39 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | -0.90 | +0.90 | 0% | 12.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Force Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Evolution Pre | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 73 | -70 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.44 | +0.61 | 0% | 12.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sat Nov 7 at Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Mar 20 at FC Wisconsin Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.