TableChase Clubs

Chicago Inter Pre- Red

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU12 · 13 teams · Chicago Inter (all teams)

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4th
5-0-1 record · 6 played
2.50 points per game
+13 goal diff · 22–9
WWWLWlast 5
59% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.3
-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Chicago Inter Pre- Red
4th · 2.50 PPG
at
Evolution Pre
13th · 0.00 PPG

Stuart Sports Complex, Field 51 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 6–0 (expected goals 6.7 for, 0.7 against · 2.97 expected points)

Season so farChicago Inter Pre- RedEvolution Pre
Position4th13th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-10-0-10
Points per game2.500.00
Goals for / game3.70.3
Goals against / game1.57.3
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless07
Form (recent first)W L W W WL L L L L
Biggest win5–0 at Indiana Elite FC Pre—
Worst loss5–7 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre0–11 vs NWI Lions United Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.36-5.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.09+0.44

Common opponents: Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 5–0; they 1–2. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 3–1; they 0–7. Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre — we 2–1; they 0–8.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Evolution Pre average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 3.0); blanked in 7 of 10.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Evolution Pre concede 7.3/game; worst result 0–11 vs NWI Lions United Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 99% chance; likely score 6–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Evolution Pre have lost 10 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Stuart Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    NWI Lions United Pre sit 3rd on 2.50 PPG; we are on 2.50.

    A point moves us above NWI Lions United Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Evolution Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Inter Pre- Red – Evolution Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.57 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.57 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
2.29 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1
Loss
2.14 PPG
5th▼ down 1 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 6–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
59% top 4
41% below the top 4
4.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 45%
  5. 5th 34%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.54) 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
2 Force Pre 2.71 (+0.21) 2nd (2.42) 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 NWI Lions United Pre 2.50 (+0.00) 3rd (2.32) A point next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Inter Pre- Red to Evolution Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

26 favour us
1 favour them
+8.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–0 2–1 2–1 8–0 3–1 7–0 0–13 1–10 6–1 1–6 8–0 4–0 1–7 5–7 3–1 6–0 1–8 11–0 1–0 7–0 3–0 1–5 Chicago Inter Pre- … 4th Indiana Elite FC Pre 12th Eclipse Select Socc… 8th FC Wisconsin Pre 6th Chicago Inter Pre- … 11th Eclipse Select Socc… 1st FC 1974 Libertyvill… 9th Chicago Soccer Acad… 10th Force Pre 2nd Rockford Raptors FC… 7th NWI Lions United Pre 3rd Evolution Pre 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 14 Sep 20 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
10:00 AM
no score posted
Force Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24
Home
Chicago Inter Complex
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.01 2.29 Upside
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Away far trip
Stuart Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
6–0 2.97 2.37 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
10th · 3-1-6 · GD -5
Home
Chicago Inter Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.33 2.37 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
04:00 PM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.71 2.30 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 2.20 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:30 PM
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +23
Away far trip
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.73 2.08 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
9th · 1-2-2 · GD +2
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.20 2.08 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -13
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.39 2.11 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +34
Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 2.02 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 2.04 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
6th · 5-0-4 · GD +12
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–2 1.94 2.04 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 0-0-10 · GD -70
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.09 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza
7th · 3-0-4 · GD +6
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.02 2.08 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +20
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.49 2.06 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
10th · 3-1-6 · GD -5
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–1 2.06 2.06 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Force Pre
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +24
Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 2.00 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +23
Home
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 1.02 1.95 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -39
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.97 2.00 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 417+34 183.00 WWWWW -0.17 -0.23 100% 1.5
2 Force Pre 7610 284+24 192.71 DWWWW +0.08 -0.13 99% 2.2
3 NWI Lions United Pre 4310 263+23 102.50 WDWW -0.79 -0.04 96% 2.7
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6501 229+13 152.50 WWWLW -0.09 +0.08 59% 4.3
5 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 7502 3010+20 152.14 WLWWW -1.07 +0.43 42% 4.6
6 FC Wisconsin Pre 9504 3523+12 151.67 WLWWL -0.33 +0.25 3% 6.3
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II Fuerza 7304 2115+6 91.29 LLLWL -0.34 +0.24 0% 7.2
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7304 1320-7 91.29 LWWLL +0.60 -0.01 0% 9.0
9 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5122 1513+2 51.00 DDLWL -0.47 +0.26 0% 8.4
10 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10316 2530-5 101.00 LLLWL +0.21 +0.12 0% 9.2
11 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6114 922-13 40.67 WLDLL +0.29 +0.22 0% 10.6
12 Indiana Elite FC Pre 6105 342-39 30.50 LLLLW -0.90 +0.90 0% 12.1
13 Evolution Pre 100010 373-70 00.00 LLLLL +0.44 +0.61 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.